Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-04-18

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-04-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56738 13033 58 63 20 0 0 0
OW 726 1524 172 196 80 24 5 0
VODI 1762 618 297 508 254 95 52 0
ODI 1854 147 120 447 566 313 157 0
CDI 0 70 68 335 1229 2393 1424 0
VCDI 0 3 13 72 573 3506 35912 55383
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-04-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56825 12551 53 61 48 0 0 0
OW 713 1599 185 275 93 14 1 0
VODI 1765 805 220 470 338 106 67 0
ODI 1849 341 138 405 618 470 64 0
CDI 0 194 139 412 759 2025 1298 9
VCDI 0 52 55 199 716 3276 34052 57550
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-04-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57145 12974 56 50 9 2 0 0
OW 704 1900 207 182 45 16 21 0
VODI 1786 551 311 662 367 107 17 0
ODI 1823 104 107 413 842 418 40 0
CDI 0 82 70 301 928 1986 834 1
VCDI 0 69 52 205 548 2659 29936 62280
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-04-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56773 13289 43 65 6 0 0 0
OW 746 1601 227 209 55 8 12 0
VODI 1785 540 284 624 461 120 53 0
ODI 1824 147 95 380 614 496 87 0
CDI 0 156 100 304 888 1920 1435 0
VCDI 0 50 50 217 631 3306 30216 60993
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56773 13439 59 76 6 0 0 0
OW 745 1467 221 235 65 8 4 0
VODI 1786 520 268 577 420 105 52 0
ODI 1824 150 97 371 627 440 92 0
CDI 0 150 103 337 934 2014 1604 0
VCDI 0 57 51 203 603 3283 30051 60993

Date: 2024-04-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57047 12757 67 71 33 0 0 0
OW 744 1692 189 214 76 24 0 0
VODI 1785 691 261 558 400 238 16 0
ODI 1824 239 101 358 577 470 49 0
CDI 0 229 68 306 993 2284 1391 0
VCDI 0 197 99 402 815 3831 35434 54280
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57047 12929 72 84 42 1 0 0
OW 744 1528 209 225 76 21 0 0
VODI 1785 683 229 498 382 223 15 0
ODI 1824 237 107 381 567 469 54 0
CDI 0 229 73 314 1013 2343 1474 1
VCDI 0 199 95 407 814 3790 35347 54279

Date: 2024-04-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57694 12274 70 102 25 0 0 0
OW 786 2179 215 206 61 3 0 0
VODI 1810 424 327 802 485 77 0 0
ODI 1805 143 62 356 939 412 12 0
CDI 0 254 65 255 1130 2944 1197 0
VCDI 0 29 24 102 639 3980 36677 52245
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57750 11824 67 123 30 0 0 0
OW 737 1619 182 218 92 19 0 0
VODI 1788 885 228 523 446 142 8 0
ODI 1820 362 133 405 567 431 82 0
CDI 0 342 87 344 1287 2446 1233 1
VCDI 0 271 66 210 857 4378 36563 52244

Date: 2024-04-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57830 12537 83 43 19 0 0 0
OW 728 2109 200 213 58 21 0 0
VODI 1807 675 274 716 398 39 3 0
ODI 1797 187 108 493 676 216 30 0
CDI 0 373 127 526 1352 2105 1274 12
VCDI 0 102 56 292 977 4439 37503 50412
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57843 11921 85 61 21 2 0 0
OW 713 1627 172 262 106 36 7 0
VODI 1794 1057 212 550 349 45 21 0
ODI 1812 478 125 411 535 208 88 0
CDI 0 606 157 620 1483 1843 1417 6
VCDI 0 294 97 379 986 4686 37277 50418

Date: 2024-04-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57990 12530 81 46 2 0 0 0
OW 764 1901 217 241 30 6 2 0
VODI 1818 698 222 693 345 91 11 0
ODI 1782 328 128 442 639 270 77 0
CDI 0 508 166 622 1456 2458 1729 9
VCDI 0 93 89 473 1281 4943 41402 44227
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57990 11749 80 78 8 9 5 0
OW 759 1590 174 292 122 45 20 0
VODI 1805 1197 219 487 218 81 29 0
ODI 1800 516 141 495 564 223 163 1
CDI 0 714 162 628 1480 1983 1655 8
VCDI 0 292 127 537 1361 5427 41349 44227


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