Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-04-11

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-04-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56456 13238 35 34 6 4 0 0
OW 733 1532 202 223 93 20 1 0
VODI 1747 613 272 553 317 73 14 0
ODI 1874 171 109 389 501 419 50 0
CDI 0 59 74 371 794 1830 2100 0
VCDI 0 2 2 14 127 907 9932 6971
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-04-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56367 13240 36 45 11 5 0 0
OW 732 1581 205 213 89 15 8 0
VODI 1754 564 283 523 302 65 13 0
ODI 1866 173 106 352 558 382 56 0
CDI 0 89 72 332 717 2246 2333 0
VCDI 0 21 10 39 171 1273 9943 6072
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-04-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56399 13783 56 58 18 3 1 0
OW 734 1494 261 205 56 19 1 0
VODI 1760 358 266 689 344 50 9 0
ODI 1859 32 57 316 570 494 58 0
CDI 0 18 23 182 695 1672 1470 0
VCDI 0 0 0 8 84 953 10589 7218
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-04-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56890 13114 66 62 18 0 0 0
OW 733 1461 180 222 73 15 1 0
VODI 1762 532 248 539 326 54 22 0
ODI 1857 97 101 350 513 402 90 0
CDI 0 60 57 251 904 2223 1288 0
VCDI 0 0 2 23 173 1096 10127 6930
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56890 13122 66 65 19 0 0 0
OW 733 1430 173 221 76 15 2 0
VODI 1762 539 251 504 264 58 23 0
ODI 1857 110 106 385 577 361 88 0
CDI 0 63 56 251 916 2264 1373 0
VCDI 0 0 2 21 155 1092 10042 6930

Date: 2024-04-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56474 13043 76 69 16 11 0 0
OW 718 1549 148 244 80 29 1 0
VODI 1761 666 242 516 316 102 40 0
ODI 1853 221 139 416 693 341 71 0
CDI 0 121 92 354 904 1915 1150 0
VCDI 0 0 12 53 148 986 9602 7690
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56474 13106 74 82 10 6 0 0
OW 718 1447 144 242 83 33 1 0
VODI 1761 680 239 470 277 100 39 0
ODI 1853 233 147 440 695 288 75 0
CDI 0 134 92 374 969 2035 1238 0
VCDI 0 0 13 44 123 922 9511 7690

Date: 2024-04-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57066 12955 69 109 14 0 0 0
OW 708 1969 196 201 49 3 2 0
VODI 1785 472 308 636 399 82 19 0
ODI 1824 93 95 367 835 536 27 0
CDI 0 71 46 238 700 2097 615 0
VCDI 0 0 0 15 182 1427 8274 8378
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57066 12278 66 111 16 0 0 0
OW 704 1712 144 185 89 11 1 0
VODI 1768 994 207 367 274 110 42 0
ODI 1845 337 148 412 586 385 46 0
CDI 0 222 134 400 888 1827 964 1
VCDI 0 17 15 91 326 1812 7884 8377

Date: 2024-04-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56981 13092 60 46 3 1 0 0
OW 701 1751 187 219 31 19 6 0
VODI 1785 572 303 622 417 113 26 0
ODI 1824 116 86 358 738 369 49 0
CDI 0 72 59 262 834 1730 1018 0
VCDI 0 1 5 35 191 1493 8669 8018
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56981 12336 73 52 7 0 0 0
OW 697 1714 112 182 67 33 5 0
VODI 1773 943 240 450 315 127 31 0
ODI 1840 400 124 363 611 267 71 0
CDI 0 196 137 434 916 1558 1352 0
VCDI 0 15 14 61 298 1740 8309 8018

Date: 2024-04-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57109 12935 44 56 17 1 0 0
OW 747 1628 203 195 54 13 10 0
VODI 1785 538 279 557 406 117 51 0
ODI 1824 140 86 328 599 482 80 0
CDI 0 123 65 207 765 1794 1396 0
VCDI 0 26 16 69 199 1313 9639 6966
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57109 12167 51 78 15 1 0 0
OW 744 1653 91 135 79 22 18 0
VODI 1776 962 262 436 349 152 59 0
ODI 1836 331 161 364 468 460 100 0
CDI 0 253 114 360 939 1712 1853 0
VCDI 0 24 14 39 190 1373 9146 6966


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