Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2024-04-11

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-04-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 6 6 6 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 20 3 3 3 0
CDI 0 0 4 42 122 112 24 17
VCDI 0 0 0 2 10 118 4316 27266
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-04-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 8 1 1 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 11 1 6 3 1 0 0
CDI 0 10 10 18 39 156 48 0
VCDI 0 0 0 13 38 588 10373 20757
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-04-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 2 7 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 10 11 0 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 16 38 138 117 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 36 363 13047 18291
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-04-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 2 2 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 4 6 1 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 15 109 87 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 12 341 12436 19057
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 2 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 4 4 1 7 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 18 99 92 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 12 351 12427 19057

Date: 2024-04-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 2 4 1 0 0
CDI 0 0 2 4 48 125 25 0
VCDI 0 0 1 3 52 547 12504 18763
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 1 2 1 0 0
CDI 0 0 2 6 53 130 24 0
VCDI 0 0 1 2 49 542 12505 18763

Date: 2024-04-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 7 224 34 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 9 341 10402 21061
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 7 204 44 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 9 361 10392 21061

Date: 2024-04-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 1 1 3 2 1 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 12 32 188 44 7
VCDI 0 0 0 306 1481 1144 10821 18037
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 1 0 1 2 3 0 0
CDI 0 0 2 11 24 192 63 37
VCDI 0 0 0 308 1489 1138 10802 18007

Date: 2024-04-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 1 2 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 3 7 4 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 32 64 210 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 42 314 9101 22292
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 2 2 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 15 49 205 5
VCDI 0 0 0 10 65 331 9106 22287


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