Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2024-04-11

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-04-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 1 20 3
CDI 0 0 0 0 23 65 189 24
VCDI 0 0 0 18 222 1199 11898 32202
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-04-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 6 6 2
CDI 0 5 2 2 17 106 201 25
VCDI 0 2 3 31 221 1357 11584 32292
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-04-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 1 2 6 2 0
ODI 0 0 0 1 9 3 23 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 37 100 158 0
VCDI 0 0 1 32 251 1454 12256 31525
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-04-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 1 0 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 3 5 8 22 22 0
CDI 0 0 2 9 35 162 259 0
VCDI 0 5 7 49 307 1657 13926 29385
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 1 0 1 2 0
ODI 0 0 3 4 7 22 20 0
CDI 0 0 2 10 37 170 286 0
VCDI 0 5 7 49 306 1649 13899 29385

Date: 2024-04-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 11 5 4 2 0
ODI 0 0 3 7 10 16 7 0
CDI 0 6 5 17 46 126 99 5
VCDI 0 19 10 53 359 1809 14037 29209
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 11 7 5 2 0
ODI 0 0 3 8 12 21 10 0
CDI 0 6 4 18 46 140 127 3
VCDI 0 19 11 51 356 1789 14006 29211

Date: 2024-04-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 15 2 3 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 24 5 23 7 1 2 0
ODI 0 21 9 26 25 11 3 0
CDI 0 31 14 56 98 99 37 0
VCDI 0 44 45 179 389 1115 10407 33173
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 2 0 1 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 7 0 11 3 4 2 0
ODI 0 23 8 14 12 16 2 0
CDI 0 29 15 58 63 51 70 1
VCDI 0 74 52 203 442 1155 10375 33172

Date: 2024-04-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 3 0 0 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 27 1 7 12 2 2 0
ODI 0 35 6 17 17 6 2 0
CDI 0 47 15 94 86 55 65 1
VCDI 0 38 24 23655 3113 2329 10888 5317
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 8 1 1 14 4 2 0
ODI 0 17 2 12 21 5 2 0
CDI 0 43 8 47 55 39 79 4
VCDI 0 82 35 23713 3138 2344 10874 5314

Date: 2024-04-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 3 1 3 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 20 5 19 5 2 0 0
ODI 0 36 9 25 9 12 1 0
CDI 0 66 26 74 118 128 166 1
VCDI 0 105 62 251 519 2191 14377 27631
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 5 4 14 0 0 2 4
ODI 0 13 7 17 8 5 11 8
CDI 0 38 14 43 57 77 155 17
VCDI 0 174 78 297 587 2251 14376 27603


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