Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-04-11

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-04-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56456 13238 35 34 6 4 0 0
OW 733 1532 202 223 93 20 1 0
VODI 1747 619 278 559 317 73 16 0
ODI 1874 171 111 409 504 423 73 3
CDI 0 59 78 413 939 2007 2313 41
VCDI 0 2 2 34 359 2224 26146 66439
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-04-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56367 13240 36 45 11 5 0 0
OW 732 1581 205 213 89 15 8 0
VODI 1754 572 284 524 302 67 15 0
ODI 1866 184 107 358 561 389 62 2
CDI 0 104 84 352 773 2508 2582 25
VCDI 0 23 13 83 430 3218 31900 59121
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-04-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56399 13783 56 58 18 3 1 0
OW 734 1494 261 205 56 19 1 0
VODI 1760 359 268 697 347 56 11 0
ODI 1859 32 59 327 590 497 82 0
CDI 0 18 23 203 770 1910 1745 1
VCDI 0 0 1 40 371 2770 35892 57034
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-04-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56890 13114 66 62 18 0 0 0
OW 733 1461 180 222 73 15 1 0
VODI 1762 532 250 542 328 55 22 0
ODI 1857 97 106 359 527 425 115 0
CDI 0 60 59 264 954 2494 1634 0
VCDI 0 5 9 72 492 3094 36489 55372
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56890 13122 66 65 19 0 0 0
OW 733 1430 173 221 76 15 2 0
VODI 1762 539 253 507 265 59 25 0
ODI 1857 110 111 393 588 384 115 0
CDI 0 63 58 265 971 2533 1751 0
VCDI 0 5 9 70 473 3092 36368 55372

Date: 2024-04-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56474 13043 76 69 16 11 0 0
OW 718 1549 148 244 81 29 1 0
VODI 1761 666 242 528 321 106 42 0
ODI 1853 221 142 425 707 358 78 0
CDI 0 127 99 375 998 2166 1274 5
VCDI 0 19 23 109 559 3342 36143 55662
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56474 13106 74 82 10 6 0 0
OW 718 1447 144 242 83 33 1 0
VODI 1761 680 239 482 284 105 41 0
ODI 1853 233 150 449 709 310 85 0
CDI 0 140 98 398 1068 2305 1389 3
VCDI 0 19 25 97 528 3253 36022 55664

Date: 2024-04-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57066 12955 69 109 14 0 0 0
OW 708 1984 198 204 51 3 2 0
VODI 1785 496 313 659 406 83 21 0
ODI 1824 114 104 393 860 548 33 0
CDI 0 102 60 294 805 2420 686 0
VCDI 0 44 45 194 580 2883 29083 62612
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57066 12278 66 111 16 0 0 0
OW 704 1714 144 186 90 11 1 0
VODI 1768 1001 207 378 277 114 44 0
ODI 1845 360 156 426 598 402 51 0
CDI 0 251 149 458 958 2082 1078 2
VCDI 0 91 67 294 777 3328 28651 62610

Date: 2024-04-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56981 13092 60 46 3 1 0 0
OW 701 1754 187 219 33 19 6 0
VODI 1785 599 304 630 429 115 28 0
ODI 1824 152 93 378 757 376 51 0
CDI 0 119 75 368 952 1973 1127 8
VCDI 0 39 29 23996 4785 4966 30378 31372
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56981 12336 73 52 7 0 0 0
OW 697 1714 112 182 69 33 5 0
VODI 1773 951 241 453 329 131 33 0
ODI 1840 418 126 376 634 275 73 0
CDI 0 239 147 492 995 1789 1494 41
VCDI 0 97 49 24082 4925 5222 29985 31339

Date: 2024-04-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57109 12935 44 56 17 1 0 0
OW 747 1631 204 198 55 13 10 0
VODI 1785 558 284 577 413 119 51 0
ODI 1824 176 95 356 615 498 81 0
CDI 0 189 91 291 915 1986 1772 1
VCDI 0 131 78 320 760 3818 33117 56889
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57109 12167 51 78 15 1 0 0
OW 744 1653 91 136 79 22 18 0
VODI 1776 967 266 450 350 152 61 4
ODI 1836 344 168 381 478 467 111 8
CDI 0 291 128 407 1011 1838 2213 22
VCDI 0 198 92 346 842 3955 32628 56856


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