Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-04-04

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-03-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56089 13785 54 86 56 8 0 0
OW 661 1343 260 316 77 4 1 0
VODI 1741 432 199 479 431 128 19 0
ODI 1882 124 94 279 447 483 104 0
CDI 0 77 67 311 761 1465 1859 5
VCDI 0 11 20 138 545 3259 33341 59369
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56147 13518 99 118 15 1 0 0
OW 707 1386 253 279 94 34 4 0
VODI 1746 592 173 453 384 109 17 0
ODI 1875 391 121 317 503 492 50 0
CDI 0 151 89 361 792 1436 1630 0
VCDI 0 50 47 230 836 3684 37665 53961
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-04-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56345 13768 68 46 15 3 2 0
OW 717 1480 190 206 53 26 11 0
VODI 1741 530 279 621 320 69 22 0
ODI 1882 95 81 405 740 353 91 0
CDI 0 71 82 349 893 1941 1174 24
VCDI 0 20 19 68 498 3075 27420 65017
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-04-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56038 13615 59 54 12 2 1 0
OW 732 1430 208 209 73 29 11 0
VODI 1747 607 292 569 290 56 10 0
ODI 1874 147 105 468 644 396 125 2
CDI 0 65 86 385 906 2208 2354 36
VCDI 0 2 3 30 319 2183 27400 65028
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56038 13667 58 53 13 2 1 0
OW 732 1372 198 197 80 31 10 0
VODI 1747 621 303 548 268 54 10 0
ODI 1874 141 108 495 583 347 119 2
CDI 0 63 83 390 997 2264 2480 47
VCDI 0 2 3 32 303 2176 27281 65017

Date: 2024-04-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56348 13366 27 36 8 7 0 0
OW 732 1595 183 199 95 27 3 0
VODI 1749 684 297 494 255 62 17 0
ODI 1871 161 118 398 510 331 69 1
CDI 0 62 81 385 864 1921 2840 16
VCDI 0 7 6 55 343 2603 31690 60294
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56348 13470 31 38 11 7 0 0
OW 732 1480 188 209 100 26 3 0
VODI 1749 698 286 451 227 62 15 0
ODI 1871 149 118 418 493 273 68 1
CDI 0 69 82 393 893 2004 3027 17
VCDI 0 9 7 58 351 2579 31506 60293

Date: 2024-04-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56356 13744 51 70 24 0 0 0
OW 731 1563 245 173 37 8 2 0
VODI 1762 380 299 787 313 34 8 0
ODI 1857 35 60 337 876 382 74 2
CDI 0 24 15 174 792 2480 1215 21
VCDI 0 10 9 61 294 2867 37879 54759
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56356 13271 48 59 29 8 1 0
OW 730 1474 195 201 68 13 5 0
VODI 1751 648 236 517 235 50 23 0
ODI 1869 234 108 365 640 312 67 2
CDI 0 90 71 357 965 2321 2685 23
VCDI 0 39 21 103 399 3067 36397 54757

Date: 2024-04-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56373 13836 57 62 17 1 1 0
OW 735 1386 238 250 77 11 3 0
VODI 1760 371 232 601 396 76 12 0
ODI 1859 60 77 295 456 556 60 0
CDI 0 30 40 240 890 2189 1696 10
VCDI 0 4 3 68 376 2815 33753 58838
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56375 13139 58 71 28 4 4 0
OW 731 1440 124 161 84 31 2 0
VODI 1747 699 236 454 255 102 24 0
ODI 1874 270 113 319 454 487 129 1
CDI 0 126 104 401 916 2209 2909 23
VCDI 0 13 12 110 475 2815 32457 58824

Date: 2024-04-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56738 13033 58 63 20 0 0 0
OW 726 1524 172 196 80 24 5 0
VODI 1762 618 297 508 254 95 52 0
ODI 1854 147 120 447 566 313 157 0
CDI 0 70 68 335 1229 2393 1424 0
VCDI 0 3 13 72 573 3506 35912 55383
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56738 12335 70 79 39 2 0 0
OW 722 1448 109 136 70 41 12 0
VODI 1757 942 232 362 163 107 56 0
ODI 1863 442 152 472 487 240 208 0
CDI 0 222 147 490 1348 2415 2769 21
VCDI 0 6 18 82 615 3526 34505 55362


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