Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-03-28

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-03-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56278 13704 113 118 56 4 0 0
OW 729 1403 233 297 138 41 1 0
VODI 1746 538 192 437 308 165 36 0
ODI 1875 171 90 274 395 452 142 0
CDI 0 127 88 281 417 931 1918 4
VCDI 0 11 21 190 486 1316 9954 7182
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56759 13167 118 57 17 6 0 0
OW 694 1439 260 285 123 21 3 0
VODI 1745 603 193 408 299 125 56 0
ODI 1877 234 102 292 319 432 171 0
CDI 0 190 112 307 636 997 1546 0
VCDI 0 12 19 146 423 2082 10856 5731
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56176 13860 151 106 28 8 2 0
OW 678 1404 283 236 56 11 7 0
VODI 1739 355 225 613 431 66 3 0
ODI 1884 68 70 249 542 373 44 0
CDI 0 51 42 187 683 1550 1139 0
VCDI 0 8 14 78 250 1870 11748 5574
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56343 13594 73 61 36 3 0 0
OW 687 1307 289 288 81 11 0 0
VODI 1740 366 199 531 409 98 1 0
ODI 1884 121 89 268 383 484 85 0
CDI 0 52 61 276 715 1433 2107 0
VCDI 0 11 9 50 211 1120 10775 6611
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56345 13677 81 66 33 2 0 0
OW 685 1233 284 299 95 13 0 0
VODI 1740 362 196 515 388 102 1 0
ODI 1884 114 92 256 399 491 87 0
CDI 0 52 56 286 713 1446 2084 0
VCDI 0 13 11 52 207 1095 10796 6611

Date: 2024-03-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55868 13881 76 108 37 7 0 0
OW 699 1357 232 305 83 12 1 0
VODI 1745 513 186 457 389 109 14 0
ODI 1878 232 120 322 555 397 44 0
CDI 0 200 120 360 573 1542 1191 0
VCDI 0 4 4 89 288 1582 12263 5019
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55868 13968 90 108 34 2 0 0
OW 700 1282 218 314 91 19 2 0
VODI 1744 509 187 443 368 105 13 0
ODI 1878 229 117 321 586 404 38 0
CDI 0 194 120 373 571 1559 1239 0
VCDI 0 5 6 82 275 1560 12221 5019

Date: 2024-04-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56474 13769 50 37 20 5 0 0
OW 708 1528 228 193 59 9 0 0
VODI 1745 364 300 679 374 43 8 0
ODI 1878 51 82 338 843 326 47 0
CDI 0 35 46 265 715 1829 801 0
VCDI 0 2 10 34 203 1539 12196 5029
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56474 13240 57 37 12 0 0 0
OW 709 1376 208 283 111 25 3 0
VODI 1744 671 186 411 448 135 20 0
ODI 1878 320 135 336 548 521 58 0
CDI 0 110 100 383 746 1230 1486 0
VCDI 0 32 30 96 349 1840 11485 5029

Date: 2024-04-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56124 13787 49 30 17 3 1 0
OW 726 1464 192 194 70 16 11 0
VODI 1744 595 288 551 265 35 15 0
ODI 1878 137 95 422 766 304 93 0
CDI 0 63 80 314 882 2019 1750 0
VCDI 0 13 10 46 88 973 10229 6523
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56124 13042 55 41 12 3 0 0
OW 725 1463 197 294 92 18 14 0
VODI 1745 868 149 363 434 119 42 0
ODI 1878 453 147 321 581 382 101 0
CDI 0 225 162 513 880 1652 2108 0
VCDI 0 8 4 25 89 1176 9834 6523

Date: 2024-04-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56456 13238 35 34 6 4 0 0
OW 733 1532 202 223 93 20 1 0
VODI 1747 613 272 553 317 73 14 0
ODI 1874 171 109 389 501 419 50 0
CDI 0 59 74 371 794 1830 2100 0
VCDI 0 2 2 14 127 907 9932 6971
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56456 12553 75 82 10 4 0 0
OW 733 1513 179 278 107 20 0 0
VODI 1747 874 150 401 391 213 12 0
ODI 1874 484 148 285 350 468 126 0
CDI 0 188 139 524 797 1469 2112 0
VCDI 0 3 3 14 183 1079 9847 6971


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