Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2024-03-28

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-03-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 34 10 20 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 22 14 19 32 2 0 0
ODI 0 6 10 21 63 6 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 51 143 42 5
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 221 9299 22047
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1 3 7 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 28 17 33 23 1 0 0
ODI 0 6 9 23 54 17 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 43 120 67 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 141 7052 24432
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 2 1 2 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 8 3 8 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 8 10 44 54 4 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 15 77 119 40 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 16 227 8034 23410
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 3 1 3 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 7 4 8 3 0 0 0
ODI 0 5 3 11 15 5 0 0
CDI 0 2 1 36 59 74 27 2
VCDI 0 2 3 18 27 216 7402 24145
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 3 1 3 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 7 4 9 3 0 0 0
ODI 0 5 3 9 14 5 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 37 56 59 22 2
VCDI 0 4 4 18 31 231 7407 24145

Date: 2024-03-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 17 4 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 18 3 9 3 0 0 0
ODI 0 15 6 7 9 0 0 0
CDI 0 19 18 35 18 33 22 0
VCDI 0 36 23 59 44 295 10635 20754
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 18 5 2 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 19 2 8 4 0 0 0
ODI 0 13 4 6 7 0 0 0
CDI 0 24 24 31 17 28 22 0
VCDI 0 31 19 63 46 300 10635 20754

Date: 2024-04-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 18 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 26 11 11 3 0 0 0
ODI 0 12 7 12 10 1 0 0
CDI 0 2 16 55 40 50 12 3
VCDI 0 7 6 21 27 198 5915 25619
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 8 2 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 13 3 7 2 0 0 0
ODI 0 12 2 3 2 3 0 0
CDI 0 22 11 12 22 28 2 18
VCDI 0 10 22 77 54 218 5925 25604

Date: 2024-04-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 19 6 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 5 7 19 5 3 1 0
CDI 0 13 19 61 107 71 8 8
VCDI 0 0 0 0 4 247 5863 25611
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 6 2 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 12 1 4 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 15 16 35 33 33 10 2
VCDI 0 9 13 41 83 288 5862 25617

Date: 2024-04-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 6 6 6 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 20 3 3 3 0
CDI 0 0 4 42 122 112 24 17
VCDI 0 0 0 2 10 118 4316 27266
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 2 2 2 0 3 0 0
CDI 0 4 10 63 74 52 39 7
VCDI 0 0 0 5 61 178 4304 27276


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