Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2024-03-28

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-03-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 6 7 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 15 52 27 4
VCDI 0 0 0 16 176 930 13693 30936
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 1 36 42 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 90 759 14321 30611
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1 18 13 0
VCDI 0 0 0 11 110 1127 13273 31313
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 1 3 0 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 15 40 61 7
VCDI 0 0 0 28 218 1595 16179 27715
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 1 4 1 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 16 51 64 10
VCDI 0 0 0 28 216 1583 16174 27712

Date: 2024-03-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 5 6 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 35 38 34 1
VCDI 0 0 4 46 285 1672 14832 28902
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 8 8 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 34 49 50 5
VCDI 0 0 4 46 283 1659 14816 28898

Date: 2024-04-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 4 0 5 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 3 1 3 5 5 4 0
CDI 0 3 2 3 56 64 46 0
VCDI 0 2 4 39 362 1630 13613 30009
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 3 1 2 0 0 1 0
ODI 0 2 0 4 6 14 3 0
CDI 0 4 1 3 57 73 117 0
VCDI 0 4 6 41 361 1612 13542 30009

Date: 2024-04-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 1 2 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 2 4 3 10
CDI 0 0 0 9 34 39 84 63
VCDI 0 0 0 6 204 1138 12658 31608
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 1 4 3 4 8
CDI 0 0 0 9 48 81 124 28
VCDI 0 0 0 6 190 1096 12617 31645

Date: 2024-04-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 1 20 3
CDI 0 0 0 0 23 65 189 24
VCDI 0 0 0 18 222 1199 11898 32202
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 2 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 5 18 13 1
CDI 0 0 0 3 35 57 99 20
VCDI 0 0 0 15 203 1189 11997 32208


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