Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-03-28

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-03-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56278 13704 115 118 56 4 0 0
OW 729 1437 243 317 146 41 1 0
VODI 1746 560 206 456 340 168 36 0
ODI 1875 177 100 295 464 465 145 0
CDI 0 127 88 285 483 1126 1987 13
VCDI 0 11 21 206 663 2467 32946 60165
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56759 13167 118 57 17 6 0 0
OW 694 1440 263 292 124 21 3 0
VODI 1745 631 210 441 322 126 56 0
ODI 1877 240 111 315 373 449 172 0
CDI 0 190 112 311 680 1153 1655 0
VCDI 0 12 19 150 514 2982 32229 60774
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56176 13860 151 106 28 8 2 0
OW 678 1406 284 238 56 11 7 0
VODI 1739 363 228 621 431 66 3 0
ODI 1884 76 80 293 596 377 44 0
CDI 0 51 42 202 761 1687 1192 0
VCDI 0 8 14 89 376 3224 33055 60297
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56343 13594 73 61 36 3 0 0
OW 687 1310 290 291 81 11 0 0
VODI 1740 373 203 539 412 98 1 0
ODI 1884 126 92 280 401 489 86 0
CDI 0 54 62 315 789 1547 2195 9
VCDI 0 13 12 96 456 2931 34356 58471
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56345 13677 81 66 33 2 0 0
OW 685 1236 285 302 95 13 0 0
VODI 1740 369 200 524 391 102 1 0
ODI 1884 119 95 266 417 497 90 0
CDI 0 52 56 326 785 1556 2170 12
VCDI 0 17 15 98 454 2909 34377 58468

Date: 2024-03-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55868 13881 76 108 37 7 0 0
OW 699 1374 236 305 83 12 1 0
VODI 1745 531 189 466 392 110 15 0
ODI 1878 247 126 329 569 403 47 0
CDI 0 219 138 396 626 1613 1247 1
VCDI 0 40 31 194 617 3549 37730 54675
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55868 13968 90 108 34 2 0 0
OW 700 1300 223 316 91 19 2 0
VODI 1744 528 189 451 372 106 15 0
ODI 1878 242 121 327 601 412 40 0
CDI 0 218 144 405 622 1636 1311 5
VCDI 0 36 29 191 604 3519 37672 54671

Date: 2024-04-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56474 13769 50 37 20 5 0 0
OW 708 1547 229 193 59 9 0 0
VODI 1745 394 311 695 378 43 8 0
ODI 1878 66 90 353 858 332 51 0
CDI 0 40 64 323 811 1943 859 3
VCDI 0 11 20 94 592 3367 31724 60657
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56474 13240 57 37 12 0 0 0
OW 709 1384 210 283 111 25 3 0
VODI 1744 687 190 420 450 135 21 0
ODI 1878 334 137 343 556 538 61 0
CDI 0 136 112 398 825 1331 1605 18
VCDI 0 46 58 214 764 3670 30952 60642

Date: 2024-04-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56124 13787 49 30 17 3 1 0
OW 726 1469 192 194 70 16 11 0
VODI 1744 614 294 552 267 36 15 0
ODI 1878 142 102 441 773 311 97 10
CDI 0 76 99 384 1023 2129 1842 71
VCDI 0 13 10 52 296 2358 28750 63742
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56124 13042 55 41 12 3 0 0
OW 725 1463 197 294 92 18 14 0
VODI 1745 874 151 363 434 121 42 0
ODI 1878 465 148 326 585 385 105 8
CDI 0 240 178 557 961 1766 2242 30
VCDI 0 17 17 72 362 2560 28313 63785

Date: 2024-04-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56456 13238 35 34 6 4 0 0
OW 733 1532 202 223 93 20 1 0
VODI 1747 619 278 559 317 73 16 0
ODI 1874 171 111 409 504 423 73 3
CDI 0 59 78 413 939 2007 2313 41
VCDI 0 2 2 34 359 2224 26146 66439
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56456 12553 75 82 10 4 0 0
OW 733 1513 179 278 107 20 0 0
VODI 1747 874 150 401 393 214 12 0
ODI 1874 486 150 287 355 489 139 1
CDI 0 192 149 590 906 1578 2250 27
VCDI 0 3 3 34 447 2446 26148 66455


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