Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-03-21

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-03-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56468 13961 159 147 24 1 0 0
OW 701 1401 247 384 154 16 0 0
VODI 1747 475 191 499 374 106 11 0
ODI 1874 52 75 374 548 287 26 0
CDI 0 24 28 187 694 2157 1416 0
VCDI 0 10 10 61 275 2409 10153 5136
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55198 14419 367 271 68 0 0 0
OW 694 1426 236 348 185 51 3 0
VODI 1740 528 193 439 316 143 21 0
ODI 1885 111 111 277 560 438 28 0
CDI 0 47 49 329 780 2016 1340 0
VCDI 0 2 13 81 362 2180 10393 5214
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55948 14417 168 111 45 2 0 0
OW 724 1385 300 332 130 47 5 0
VODI 1739 327 229 544 312 116 18 0
ODI 1886 56 75 305 493 383 57 0
CDI 0 29 22 176 475 1592 1179 19
VCDI 0 11 19 123 555 1522 9933 7053
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56550 13593 236 121 32 1 2 0
OW 729 1387 274 328 113 33 0 0
VODI 1745 402 217 472 302 151 20 0
ODI 1878 102 89 273 434 410 112 0
CDI 0 75 62 202 506 1329 1459 0
VCDI 0 37 34 139 530 1655 10920 5908
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56562 13542 239 125 31 3 2 0
OW 717 1402 260 306 120 33 0 0
VODI 1745 441 226 475 282 143 21 0
ODI 1878 107 88 291 437 414 116 0
CDI 0 69 66 203 510 1346 1602 0
VCDI 0 35 33 135 537 1640 10772 5908

Date: 2024-03-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56746 13264 53 68 42 0 0 0
OW 730 1485 225 282 114 17 4 0
VODI 1747 589 183 446 305 139 43 0
ODI 1874 228 77 280 342 453 178 0
CDI 0 210 90 267 444 891 1690 0
VCDI 0 36 40 206 467 1659 10784 6164
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56746 13239 64 74 40 0 0 0
OW 730 1464 202 280 124 25 7 0
VODI 1747 612 193 429 289 137 43 0
ODI 1874 271 77 281 338 459 183 0
CDI 0 203 97 282 450 902 1799 0
VCDI 0 23 35 203 473 1636 10667 6164

Date: 2024-03-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56481 13769 137 52 14 18 0 0
OW 715 1488 251 207 36 19 0 0
VODI 1753 361 300 665 335 75 12 0
ODI 1874 68 70 287 568 329 55 0
CDI 0 45 47 226 713 1412 853 1
VCDI 0 2 4 44 215 1680 12184 5497
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56516 13235 167 127 32 1 0 0
OW 684 1473 179 249 155 63 5 0
VODI 1739 567 183 363 319 145 62 0
ODI 1884 267 133 256 329 445 139 0
CDI 0 171 124 365 670 1039 1662 1
VCDI 0 20 23 121 376 1840 11236 5497

Date: 2024-03-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56402 13591 85 80 21 2 0 0
OW 696 1337 251 277 66 29 12 0
VODI 1740 376 184 519 416 79 4 0
ODI 1885 85 85 220 446 451 80 0
CDI 0 46 43 246 719 1485 1829 0
VCDI 0 11 10 51 222 1295 11046 6440
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56432 13200 142 190 35 6 0 0
OW 666 1289 163 310 172 53 14 0
VODI 1735 569 154 274 397 160 59 0
ODI 1890 235 105 234 287 435 234 0
CDI 0 135 79 307 673 1028 2118 0
VCDI 0 18 15 78 326 1659 10546 6440

Date: 2024-03-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56089 13785 54 86 56 8 0 0
OW 661 1338 258 315 77 4 1 0
VODI 1741 426 193 468 431 128 19 0
ODI 1882 119 91 265 432 474 101 0
CDI 0 75 62 279 658 1370 1774 0
VCDI 0 5 5 58 295 1404 11723 5652
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56090 13379 136 155 50 0 1 0
OW 658 1255 175 361 182 32 9 0
VODI 1735 638 131 278 360 206 36 0
ODI 1890 286 110 220 292 433 193 0
CDI 0 189 102 394 827 1299 2135 0
VCDI 0 1 9 63 238 1418 11244 5652


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