Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2024-03-21

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-03-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 6 6 15 0 0 0 0
OW 0 65 27 33 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 50 12 31 8 0 0 0
ODI 0 18 5 30 11 0 0 0
CDI 0 1 3 25 62 40 25 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 71 557 11423 19550
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 40 6 11 0 0 0 0
OW 0 69 15 9 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 73 9 9 14 3 0 0
ODI 0 41 7 6 5 2 0 2
CDI 0 45 13 32 9 3 5 35
VCDI 0 49 31 83 125 540 10561 20216
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 31 4 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 99 19 26 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 26 14 31 20 0 0 0
ODI 0 16 11 26 22 8 8 0
CDI 0 0 5 44 47 35 47 4
VCDI 0 0 0 29 146 567 10448 20345
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 5 3 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 61 12 23 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 23 10 38 12 0 0 0
ODI 0 8 7 40 43 5 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 84 100 64 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 13 436 10245 20835
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 6 2 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 59 12 23 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 25 11 38 11 0 0 0
ODI 0 7 7 41 48 4 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 74 80 62 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 18 457 10247 20835

Date: 2024-03-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 13 9 16 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 21 20 31 21 1 0 0
ODI 0 5 9 22 69 5 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 60 121 62 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 147 6773 24667
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 14 7 14 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 20 21 31 22 1 0 0
ODI 0 5 10 26 70 6 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 59 105 52 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 162 6783 24667

Date: 2024-03-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 2 1 1 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 11 6 11 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 9 20 48 57 5 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 83 126 34 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 149 6112 25399
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 4 2 3 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 12 19 29 15 0 0 0
ODI 0 6 6 29 68 16 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 54 88 77 3
VCDI 0 0 0 0 4 176 6069 25396

Date: 2024-03-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1 1 3 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 8 2 7 3 0 0 0
ODI 0 4 4 26 24 4 0 0
CDI 0 1 3 39 82 92 44 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 15 231 8424 23062
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 7 2 11 2 0 0 0
ODI 0 7 7 50 48 8 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 16 71 76 80 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 3 243 8385 23062

Date: 2024-03-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 5 2 1 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 6 6 11 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 5 3 14 12 0 0 0
CDI 0 2 5 32 76 34 18 1
VCDI 0 6 14 36 30 208 5663 25892
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 9 8 6 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 5 8 28 9 0 0 0
CDI 0 7 13 53 100 77 44 0
VCDI 0 0 1 7 9 165 5637 25893


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