Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-03-07

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-03-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58333 13182 150 123 32 2 0 0
OW 635 1563 178 280 108 57 0 0
VODI 1784 657 213 403 225 123 30 0
ODI 1826 210 124 454 551 262 46 0
CDI 0 155 91 369 1043 1302 583 0
VCDI 0 77 44 137 524 3380 9307 4299
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57361 13873 147 143 25 2 0 0
OW 612 1310 225 396 98 49 28 0
VODI 1776 478 169 517 261 82 48 0
ODI 1836 205 88 447 557 215 51 0
CDI 0 213 78 410 1020 1726 806 0
VCDI 0 96 39 137 498 3019 9698 4123
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57152 14276 134 126 26 5 0 0
OW 655 1368 273 304 40 18 16 0
VODI 1798 361 198 623 361 50 6 0
ODI 1819 137 94 379 681 325 54 0
CDI 0 71 54 327 986 2476 839 0
VCDI 0 0 2 21 425 3420 8078 4884
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57283 13882 381 49 31 1 0 0
OW 666 1401 271 286 52 14 4 0
VODI 1787 463 233 559 288 71 11 0
ODI 1821 145 83 413 605 304 26 0
CDI 0 102 60 313 912 2635 1080 1
VCDI 0 0 6 33 386 2523 9293 4388
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57292 13883 391 49 31 1 0 0
OW 657 1385 267 268 46 12 4 0
VODI 1787 473 218 594 301 73 13 0
ODI 1821 152 89 381 607 298 24 0
CDI 0 100 65 336 907 2664 1152 2
VCDI 0 0 4 25 382 2500 9221 4387

Date: 2024-03-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57435 13470 111 73 26 16 2 0
OW 628 1365 246 319 84 31 14 0
VODI 1776 528 227 500 406 91 24 0
ODI 1836 169 129 434 509 378 80 0
CDI 0 93 44 276 800 2665 1797 0
VCDI 0 12 13 50 262 2443 8616 4884
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57435 13472 128 71 25 16 1 0
OW 628 1338 240 303 72 31 14 0
VODI 1776 557 219 516 421 91 28 0
ODI 1836 172 119 422 509 347 69 0
CDI 0 90 56 303 810 2792 1909 0
VCDI 0 8 8 37 250 2347 8512 4884

Date: 2024-03-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57508 13513 65 47 22 2 0 0
OW 681 1478 256 259 36 7 0 0
VODI 1766 331 290 842 395 59 6 0
ODI 1849 39 65 356 915 444 25 0
CDI 0 1 9 99 614 3269 820 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 49 1975 10809 3961
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57581 12982 67 43 37 9 2 0
OW 609 1481 218 317 56 6 8 0
VODI 1763 601 223 597 476 123 18 0
ODI 1851 227 121 351 515 513 81 0
CDI 0 71 56 288 819 3010 1834 0
VCDI 0 0 0 7 128 2095 9717 3961

Date: 2024-03-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56946 13527 432 61 25 0 0 0
OW 721 1438 261 347 80 7 0 0
VODI 1760 324 224 678 452 90 4 0
ODI 1860 41 63 287 735 416 28 0
CDI 0 17 15 142 710 2389 1104 0
VCDI 0 4 7 36 263 2244 10328 4796
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57025 12947 368 84 52 9 3 0
OW 642 1388 257 348 103 12 6 0
VODI 1760 660 193 406 455 177 23 0
ODI 1860 290 120 397 501 470 59 0
CDI 0 66 64 270 859 2577 1752 0
VCDI 0 0 0 46 295 1901 9621 4796

Date: 2024-03-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56468 13961 159 147 24 1 0 0
OW 701 1401 247 384 154 16 0 0
VODI 1747 475 191 499 374 106 11 0
ODI 1874 52 75 374 548 287 26 0
CDI 0 24 28 187 694 2157 1416 0
VCDI 0 10 10 61 275 2409 10153 5136
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56519 13415 131 119 42 6 0 0
OW 650 1448 222 367 119 19 2 0
VODI 1746 691 154 420 393 146 32 0
ODI 1875 293 137 357 515 380 137 0
CDI 0 60 54 326 725 2312 1747 0
VCDI 0 16 12 63 275 2113 9688 5136


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