Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2024-03-07

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-03-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10 259 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 96 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 159 6 2 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 94 7 7 4 2 0 0
CDI 0 232 23 44 19 36 9 0
VCDI 0 170 45 160 326 2284 12263 15824
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 170 1 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 92 3 1 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 84 8 9 3 0 0 0
ODI 0 111 16 23 7 7 12 0
CDI 0 145 19 121 85 78 24 0
VCDI 0 37 25 79 230 2411 8011 20270
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 174 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 112 14 3 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 57 8 27 6 0 0 0
ODI 0 49 15 32 9 2 0 0
CDI 0 57 15 68 101 70 30 0
VCDI 0 12 8 23 153 980 8398 21659
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 121 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 128 1 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 70 12 13 2 0 0 0
ODI 0 59 15 10 5 0 0 0
CDI 0 59 18 44 61 25 19 2
VCDI 0 7 11 54 238 830 5683 24595
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 118 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 129 4 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 74 10 13 2 0 0 0
ODI 0 60 15 12 6 0 0 0
CDI 0 60 20 43 80 24 31 2
VCDI 0 3 8 53 218 831 5671 24595

Date: 2024-03-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 82 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 112 16 3 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 63 18 13 10 0 0 0
ODI 0 40 2 9 14 0 0 0
CDI 0 45 16 29 33 12 1 0
VCDI 0 2 2 25 98 522 3833 27082
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 77 4 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 115 16 6 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 70 12 10 10 0 0 0
ODI 0 38 5 12 15 0 0 0
CDI 0 42 13 33 39 15 2 1
VCDI 0 2 4 18 91 519 3832 27081

Date: 2024-03-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 102 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 193 13 3 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 46 26 18 7 0 0 0
ODI 0 17 3 24 10 4 0 0
CDI 0 24 15 27 20 47 6 0
VCDI 0 1 6 42 42 278 3227 27881
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 84 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 110 6 2 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 91 11 12 4 0 0 0
ODI 0 35 14 9 6 2 0 0
CDI 0 43 16 19 11 15 7 0
VCDI 0 20 16 72 58 312 3226 27881

Date: 2024-03-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 56 11 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 138 6 9 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 63 6 5 2 0 0 0
ODI 0 12 19 33 3 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 31 61 63 24 16
VCDI 0 0 0 5 79 569 7815 23053
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 41 6 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 102 7 1 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 107 9 10 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 19 17 39 10 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 4 26 50 28 10 9
VCDI 0 0 0 8 85 604 7829 23060

Date: 2024-03-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 6 6 15 0 0 0 0
OW 0 65 27 33 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 50 12 31 8 0 0 0
ODI 0 18 5 30 11 0 0 0
CDI 0 1 3 25 62 40 25 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 71 557 11423 19550
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1 5 15 0 0 0 0
OW 0 39 25 30 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 73 11 33 7 0 0 0
ODI 0 27 9 28 12 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 3 28 70 30 18 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 67 567 11430 19550


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