Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-02-29

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-02-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57650 13628 143 139 47 3 0 0
OW 688 1428 205 290 123 24 14 0
VODI 1777 597 203 411 276 80 66 0
ODI 1835 174 118 362 472 336 92 0
CDI 0 90 74 292 785 1710 1154 0
VCDI 0 37 35 175 585 2837 9578 4329
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57889 13493 81 124 30 9 3 0
OW 683 1535 189 204 55 26 26 0
VODI 1778 735 183 388 216 93 46 0
ODI 1834 328 144 369 302 267 108 0
CDI 0 145 98 468 731 1625 897 0
VCDI 0 85 46 198 532 3087 9307 4505
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57031 14259 184 229 48 1 0 0
OW 658 1425 288 328 174 87 9 0
VODI 1790 290 199 557 375 134 37 0
ODI 1817 72 53 314 628 347 74 0
CDI 0 76 34 173 934 1979 1305 0
VCDI 0 61 24 80 254 2263 9463 4808
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57550 13956 124 132 36 8 0 0
OW 629 1555 189 305 102 66 12 0
VODI 1783 602 174 445 177 144 27 0
ODI 1827 215 105 427 485 219 69 0
CDI 0 156 68 372 1141 1285 941 0
VCDI 0 84 51 190 608 2692 8235 5676
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57550 14027 128 140 33 9 0 0
OW 629 1494 184 308 101 66 12 0
VODI 1783 592 176 439 194 170 29 0
ODI 1827 207 103 410 463 204 80 0
CDI 0 158 68 377 1146 1252 937 2
VCDI 0 90 52 197 612 2713 8226 5674

Date: 2024-03-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58634 12900 96 97 27 2 0 0
OW 611 1502 168 327 79 40 2 0
VODI 1779 567 201 511 221 100 25 0
ODI 1833 201 111 485 522 240 26 0
CDI 0 197 86 341 1135 1469 565 0
VCDI 0 73 43 160 466 3075 10152 3793
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58634 12988 95 109 22 3 0 0
OW 611 1448 174 320 90 40 1 0
VODI 1778 534 204 498 224 110 30 0
ODI 1834 189 98 477 551 222 21 0
CDI 0 193 85 335 1078 1377 543 0
VCDI 0 88 49 182 485 3174 10175 3793

Date: 2024-03-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57082 14318 152 135 41 18 0 0
OW 645 1392 283 249 44 19 20 0
VODI 1797 321 235 760 274 34 14 0
ODI 1817 116 71 416 859 292 60 0
CDI 0 60 52 271 1138 2466 798 0
VCDI 0 0 2 18 256 2586 9699 4052
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57106 14009 165 166 26 0 0 0
OW 622 1232 225 341 129 54 25 0
VODI 1775 502 174 484 332 104 57 0
ODI 1838 219 90 293 577 204 39 0
CDI 0 196 108 433 1000 1690 940 0
VCDI 0 49 33 132 548 3363 9530 4052

Date: 2024-03-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57555 13912 69 92 16 11 0 0
OW 670 1389 281 311 52 17 7 0
VODI 1788 429 208 569 322 47 13 0
ODI 1820 140 93 403 621 343 35 0
CDI 0 94 75 322 898 2750 998 0
VCDI 0 0 0 33 264 2721 9058 4436
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57587 13463 132 153 27 19 1 0
OW 633 1232 191 322 114 33 14 0
VODI 1772 647 159 418 299 109 25 0
ODI 1841 286 98 257 473 271 24 0
CDI 0 296 110 445 854 2115 921 0
VCDI 0 40 36 135 406 3342 9126 4436

Date: 2024-03-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57591 13678 89 74 14 3 2 0
OW 639 1342 262 304 64 13 18 0
VODI 1783 458 223 577 369 48 18 0
ODI 1827 168 96 394 589 327 41 0
CDI 0 106 48 297 822 2507 1482 0
VCDI 0 16 16 43 404 2522 9432 4156
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57591 13159 176 186 78 7 12 0
OW 636 1270 160 290 129 15 17 0
VODI 1764 695 162 399 373 85 16 0
ODI 1849 329 103 267 411 326 35 0
CDI 0 257 104 453 701 2090 948 0
VCDI 0 58 29 94 570 2897 9965 4156


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