Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2024-02-29

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-02-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 177 5 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 97 6 12 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 54 15 14 12 0 0 0
ODI 0 42 9 64 21 0 0 0
CDI 0 30 11 60 78 17 18 0
VCDI 0 32 15 58 286 960 9766 20219
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 173 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 123 3 2 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 91 8 8 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 58 15 16 7 2 0 0
CDI 0 93 33 13 22 22 7 0
VCDI 0 152 48 125 277 1322 9807 19654
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 255 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 187 5 1 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 83 8 9 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 80 6 10 11 1 1 0
CDI 0 163 38 67 81 130 35 2
VCDI 0 99 33 107 314 1874 13446 15035
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 256 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 108 4 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 132 9 6 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 96 4 7 3 1 0 0
CDI 0 162 26 49 12 12 3 0
VCDI 0 96 45 122 313 1665 13589 15361
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 279 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 97 3 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 121 10 6 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 88 4 6 2 0 0 0
CDI 0 167 26 41 12 10 3 0
VCDI 0 98 45 131 315 1668 13589 15361

Date: 2024-03-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 223 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 88 5 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 151 8 7 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 116 6 7 7 5 2 0
CDI 0 244 25 31 38 73 21 0
VCDI 0 131 46 171 313 2333 10013 18017
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 240 2 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 80 3 2 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 135 5 2 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 121 7 8 5 4 2 0
CDI 0 224 22 27 37 63 21 0
VCDI 0 153 51 177 316 2344 10013 18017

Date: 2024-03-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 177 4 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 133 18 3 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 71 23 29 15 0 0 0
ODI 0 45 14 29 38 4 1 0
CDI 0 44 20 73 133 127 47 0
VCDI 0 2 0 19 135 1581 8750 20547
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 143 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 65 12 2 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 73 15 6 2 0 0 0
ODI 0 61 11 19 15 0 5 0
CDI 0 92 29 59 57 52 61 1
VCDI 0 38 12 67 247 1660 8732 20546

Date: 2024-03-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 164 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 105 8 1 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 62 4 16 5 0 0 0
ODI 0 62 14 17 5 0 0 0
CDI 0 57 21 46 50 78 17 0
VCDI 0 12 10 59 196 697 7510 22866
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 100 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 93 1 2 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 97 6 2 5 0 0 0
ODI 0 47 5 17 7 4 0 0
CDI 0 62 5 6 8 17 6 0
VCDI 0 63 40 112 236 754 7521 22866

Date: 2024-03-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 90 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 120 8 2 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 73 9 11 6 0 0 0
ODI 0 46 11 15 12 0 0 0
CDI 0 51 15 36 54 35 10 1
VCDI 0 3 7 34 134 651 6100 24548
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 65 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 99 4 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 98 15 8 2 1 0 0
ODI 0 52 4 17 19 3 0 0
CDI 0 41 7 6 7 15 3 0
VCDI 0 28 20 67 178 667 6107 24549


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