Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-02-29

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-02-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57650 13805 148 140 47 3 0 0
OW 688 1525 211 302 126 24 14 0
VODI 1777 651 218 425 288 80 66 0
ODI 1835 216 127 426 493 336 92 0
CDI 0 120 85 352 865 1729 1173 2
VCDI 0 69 50 264 1012 4685 31682 57009
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57889 13666 81 124 30 9 3 0
OW 683 1658 192 206 55 26 26 0
VODI 1778 826 191 396 217 93 46 0
ODI 1834 386 159 385 309 269 108 0
CDI 0 238 131 481 758 1651 907 0
VCDI 0 237 94 324 933 5708 30527 57176
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57031 14514 184 229 48 1 0 0
OW 658 1612 293 329 174 87 9 0
VODI 1790 373 207 566 376 134 37 0
ODI 1817 152 59 324 639 348 75 0
CDI 0 239 72 240 1016 2112 1341 4
VCDI 0 160 57 187 615 5519 32742 54440
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57550 14212 124 132 36 8 0 0
OW 629 1663 193 305 102 66 12 0
VODI 1783 734 183 451 178 144 27 0
ODI 1827 311 109 434 488 220 69 0
CDI 0 318 94 421 1155 1305 944 0
VCDI 0 186 97 352 1090 5769 33467 53622
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57550 14306 128 140 33 9 0 0
OW 629 1591 187 308 101 66 12 0
VODI 1783 713 186 445 194 170 29 0
ODI 1827 295 107 416 465 204 80 0
CDI 0 325 94 418 1160 1269 940 2
VCDI 0 194 98 368 1096 5794 33458 53620

Date: 2024-03-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58634 13123 96 97 27 2 0 0
OW 611 1590 173 327 79 40 2 0
VODI 1779 718 209 518 222 100 25 0
ODI 1833 317 117 492 529 245 28 0
CDI 0 441 111 377 1175 1545 588 0
VCDI 0 204 98 376 917 6866 31171 55008
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58634 13228 97 109 22 3 0 0
OW 611 1528 177 322 90 40 1 0
VODI 1778 669 209 500 225 110 30 0
ODI 1834 310 105 485 556 226 23 0
CDI 0 417 107 365 1117 1445 566 0
VCDI 0 241 109 406 939 6974 31194 55008

Date: 2024-03-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57082 14495 156 135 41 18 0 0
OW 645 1525 301 252 44 19 20 0
VODI 1797 392 258 789 289 34 14 0
ODI 1817 161 85 445 897 296 61 0
CDI 0 104 72 344 1275 2601 856 0
VCDI 0 2 4 59 546 5393 31475 56011
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57106 14152 165 166 26 0 0 0
OW 622 1297 237 343 129 54 25 0
VODI 1775 575 189 490 334 104 57 0
ODI 1838 280 101 312 592 204 44 0
CDI 0 288 137 492 1060 1755 1016 1
VCDI 0 87 47 221 951 6244 31284 56010

Date: 2024-03-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57555 14076 69 92 16 11 0 0
OW 670 1494 289 312 52 17 7 0
VODI 1788 491 212 585 327 47 13 0
ODI 1820 202 107 420 626 343 35 0
CDI 0 151 96 368 948 2828 1015 1
VCDI 0 12 10 92 482 4246 28865 60020
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57587 13563 132 153 27 19 1 0
OW 633 1325 192 324 114 33 14 0
VODI 1772 744 165 420 304 109 25 0
ODI 1841 333 103 274 480 275 24 0
CDI 0 358 115 451 862 2133 939 1
VCDI 0 103 76 247 664 4923 28932 60020

Date: 2024-03-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57591 13768 89 74 14 3 2 0
OW 639 1462 270 306 64 13 18 0
VODI 1783 531 232 588 375 48 18 0
ODI 1827 214 107 409 601 327 41 0
CDI 0 157 63 333 876 2545 1501 1
VCDI 0 19 23 77 547 3867 26021 63366
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57591 13224 176 186 78 7 12 0
OW 636 1369 164 290 129 15 17 0
VODI 1764 793 177 407 375 86 16 0
ODI 1849 381 107 284 430 329 35 0
CDI 0 298 111 459 709 2110 978 0
VCDI 0 86 49 161 756 4256 26543 63367


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