Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-02-22

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-02-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57770 14065 124 92 20 0 0 0
OW 731 1620 200 260 109 37 3 0
VODI 1782 819 199 423 224 114 15 0
ODI 1828 302 135 350 408 169 42 0
CDI 0 154 99 529 761 1208 776 2
VCDI 0 241 69 214 474 2693 11694 2107
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56714 14568 133 86 11 0 0 0
OW 712 1477 240 311 72 24 8 0
VODI 1777 738 264 652 202 48 20 0
ODI 1835 255 150 485 424 175 23 0
CDI 0 97 96 458 1070 1503 667 0
VCDI 0 18 46 281 537 2851 11500 2334
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56306 15147 240 109 20 2 0 0
OW 681 1497 346 315 88 28 10 0
VODI 1789 399 296 738 336 55 10 0
ODI 1819 53 59 377 657 275 27 0
CDI 0 32 35 191 1159 2112 761 0
VCDI 0 7 7 42 397 3414 8717 4309
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57476 13839 129 150 41 15 5 0
OW 676 1418 232 293 141 42 14 0
VODI 1779 562 191 443 336 68 39 0
ODI 1833 116 107 339 527 265 73 0
CDI 0 74 64 244 1104 1838 1206 0
VCDI 0 21 24 129 695 2902 8339 5073
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57483 13916 130 136 46 18 4 0
OW 667 1320 237 316 143 37 15 0
VODI 1780 578 186 446 335 66 37 0
ODI 1834 122 98 333 490 265 83 0
CDI 0 71 75 242 1123 1835 1223 0
VCDI 0 23 21 125 707 2909 8314 5073

Date: 2024-02-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57710 13641 89 166 51 3 0 0
OW 677 1495 184 273 69 24 16 0
VODI 1777 697 185 450 215 113 63 0
ODI 1835 277 150 409 327 282 73 0
CDI 0 113 94 406 868 1242 831 0
VCDI 0 56 40 185 688 2690 9357 5041
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57710 13730 88 175 46 2 0 0
OW 677 1415 201 278 78 27 15 0
VODI 1777 691 171 458 223 116 59 0
ODI 1835 277 143 375 305 286 82 0
CDI 0 105 102 421 833 1092 731 0
VCDI 0 61 37 182 733 2831 9453 5041

Date: 2024-02-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56974 14577 121 214 48 2 0 0
OW 662 1542 260 300 124 55 8 0
VODI 1794 312 189 625 320 139 48 0
ODI 1812 84 34 338 573 370 56 0
CDI 0 87 44 164 907 2154 1127 0
VCDI 0 38 17 81 194 2164 9060 5244
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56990 14120 140 222 54 3 0 0
OW 640 1338 181 286 129 52 23 0
VODI 1781 614 130 383 259 194 58 0
ODI 1831 290 106 317 340 348 124 0
CDI 0 171 74 387 1035 1761 1423 0
VCDI 0 107 34 127 349 2526 8671 5244

Date: 2024-02-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57411 13947 147 176 49 0 0 0
OW 633 1477 233 304 176 55 25 0
VODI 1785 439 180 490 300 140 18 0
ODI 1824 110 79 384 482 345 79 0
CDI 0 105 41 258 804 2013 1096 10
VCDI 0 51 39 107 347 2523 8861 5319
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57383 13334 174 204 54 8 2 0
OW 657 1319 167 269 192 62 17 0
VODI 1775 736 108 339 284 183 65 0
ODI 1838 405 111 331 274 376 86 0
CDI 0 255 113 415 910 1756 1245 12
VCDI 0 80 46 161 444 2691 8664 5317

Date: 2024-03-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58333 13182 150 123 32 2 0 0
OW 635 1563 178 280 108 57 0 0
VODI 1784 657 213 403 225 123 30 0
ODI 1826 210 124 454 551 262 46 0
CDI 0 155 91 369 1043 1302 583 0
VCDI 0 77 44 137 524 3380 9307 4299
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58302 12266 143 121 38 2 0 0
OW 659 1609 119 219 145 62 0 0
VODI 1774 1015 192 318 258 175 71 0
ODI 1843 463 141 428 418 313 22 0
CDI 0 372 135 478 939 1226 675 0
VCDI 0 119 70 202 685 3348 9198 4299


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