Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2024-02-22

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-02-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 189 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 170 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 85 15 13 3 0 0 0
ODI 0 45 7 4 3 0 0 0
CDI 0 73 12 13 6 8 2 0
VCDI 0 241 56 178 267 1302 8857 20533
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 238 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 149 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 110 10 6 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 58 6 5 0 1 0 0
CDI 0 101 16 15 8 33 3 0
VCDI 0 409 93 208 275 1085 9156 20097
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 277 5 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 119 10 21 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 128 17 29 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 74 11 16 2 1 0 0
CDI 0 65 45 69 71 46 42 0
VCDI 0 14 16 133 459 1173 9529 19707
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 198 4 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 98 6 11 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 61 17 22 9 0 0 0
ODI 0 62 28 32 15 2 0 0
CDI 0 43 12 44 106 39 33 6
VCDI 0 44 14 47 307 1000 9576 20240
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 178 3 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 120 6 8 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 60 20 28 12 0 0 0
ODI 0 61 25 33 13 2 0 0
CDI 0 44 13 39 113 52 33 6
VCDI 0 43 14 49 300 987 9576 20240

Date: 2024-02-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 166 3 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 106 7 7 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 68 9 10 10 0 0 0
ODI 0 46 20 41 16 2 0 0
CDI 0 52 28 50 20 13 12 0
VCDI 0 74 19 80 297 1107 9471 20347
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 142 1 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 138 7 5 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 67 12 11 9 0 0 0
ODI 0 45 22 50 16 3 0 0
CDI 0 53 24 41 23 14 11 0
VCDI 0 67 20 81 296 1105 9472 20347

Date: 2024-02-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 272 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 224 5 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 86 18 10 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 69 5 14 3 1 0 0
CDI 0 177 37 45 52 73 20 0
VCDI 0 41 29 101 316 1675 10083 18726
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 181 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 137 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 113 3 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 57 21 19 5 2 0 0
CDI 0 157 12 24 25 43 4 0
VCDI 0 224 58 127 341 1704 10099 18726

Date: 2024-02-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 247 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 131 4 1 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 104 8 11 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 93 5 4 6 0 0 0
CDI 0 149 45 78 75 73 19 10
VCDI 0 80 29 108 334 1776 13827 14864
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 150 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 108 2 1 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 95 3 7 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 58 11 9 6 0 0 0
CDI 0 216 20 25 29 46 31 6
VCDI 0 177 55 160 380 1803 13815 14868

Date: 2024-03-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10 259 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 96 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 159 6 2 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 94 7 7 4 2 0 0
CDI 0 232 23 44 19 36 9 0
VCDI 0 170 45 160 326 2284 12263 15824
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2 150 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 8 111 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 110 4 4 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 76 7 7 2 2 0 0
CDI 0 167 10 26 15 30 11 0
VCDI 0 396 60 176 332 2290 12261 15824


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