Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-02-22

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-02-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57770 14254 124 92 20 0 0 0
OW 731 1790 200 260 109 37 3 0
VODI 1782 904 214 436 227 114 15 0
ODI 1828 347 142 354 411 169 42 0
CDI 0 227 111 542 767 1216 778 2
VCDI 0 482 125 392 785 4815 31233 56960
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56714 14806 133 86 11 0 0 0
OW 712 1626 240 311 72 24 8 0
VODI 1777 848 274 658 202 48 20 0
ODI 1835 313 156 490 424 176 23 0
CDI 0 198 112 473 1078 1547 674 0
VCDI 0 427 139 489 844 4417 30709 57716
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56306 15424 245 111 20 2 0 0
OW 681 1616 356 336 88 28 10 0
VODI 1789 527 313 767 337 55 10 0
ODI 1819 127 70 394 660 279 27 0
CDI 0 97 82 266 1236 2174 817 1
VCDI 0 21 29 204 1022 5408 27929 59127
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57476 14037 133 153 41 15 5 0
OW 676 1516 238 304 144 42 14 0
VODI 1779 623 208 465 345 68 39 0
ODI 1833 178 135 371 542 267 73 0
CDI 0 117 77 292 1219 1885 1248 6
VCDI 0 69 50 245 1151 4886 31176 56669
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57483 14094 133 138 46 18 4 0
OW 667 1440 243 324 145 37 15 0
VODI 1780 638 206 474 347 66 37 0
ODI 1834 183 123 366 503 267 83 0
CDI 0 115 88 288 1244 1898 1267 6
VCDI 0 70 48 240 1157 4877 31149 56669

Date: 2024-02-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57710 13807 92 166 51 3 0 0
OW 677 1601 191 280 70 24 16 0
VODI 1777 765 194 460 225 113 63 0
ODI 1835 323 170 450 343 284 73 0
CDI 0 165 122 456 888 1255 843 0
VCDI 0 130 59 271 1108 4759 30039 58952
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57710 13872 89 175 46 2 0 0
OW 677 1553 208 283 78 27 15 0
VODI 1777 758 183 469 232 116 59 0
ODI 1835 322 165 425 321 289 82 0
CDI 0 158 126 462 856 1106 743 0
VCDI 0 128 57 269 1152 4898 30135 58952

Date: 2024-02-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56974 14849 121 214 48 2 0 0
OW 662 1766 265 300 124 55 8 0
VODI 1794 398 207 635 320 139 48 0
ODI 1812 153 39 352 576 371 56 0
CDI 0 264 81 209 964 2235 1157 0
VCDI 0 79 46 199 614 5234 29993 57447
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56990 14301 140 222 54 3 0 0
OW 640 1475 181 286 129 52 23 0
VODI 1781 727 133 383 259 194 58 0
ODI 1831 347 127 336 345 350 124 0
CDI 0 328 86 411 1068 1808 1430 0
VCDI 0 331 92 271 791 5629 29627 57447

Date: 2024-02-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57411 14194 147 176 49 0 0 0
OW 633 1608 237 305 176 55 25 0
VODI 1785 543 188 501 301 140 18 0
ODI 1824 203 84 388 488 345 79 0
CDI 0 254 86 336 879 2090 1115 20
VCDI 0 131 68 215 687 5674 33815 53537
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57383 13484 174 204 54 8 2 0
OW 657 1427 169 270 192 62 17 0
VODI 1775 831 111 346 285 183 65 0
ODI 1838 463 122 340 280 376 86 0
CDI 0 471 133 440 939 1802 1276 20
VCDI 0 257 101 321 830 5873 33606 53537

Date: 2024-03-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58343 13441 150 123 32 2 0 0
OW 635 1659 178 280 108 57 0 0
VODI 1784 816 219 405 226 123 30 0
ODI 1826 304 131 461 555 264 46 0
CDI 0 387 114 416 1077 1358 605 0
VCDI 0 247 89 306 970 7551 32119 53373
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58304 12416 143 121 38 2 0 0
OW 667 1720 119 219 145 62 0 0
VODI 1774 1125 196 322 259 175 71 0
ODI 1843 539 148 435 420 315 22 0
CDI 0 539 145 507 961 1261 689 0
VCDI 0 515 130 387 1145 7540 32018 53373


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