Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-02-15

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-02-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55823 15503 289 283 28 3 0 0
OW 725 1471 231 293 94 36 1 0
VODI 1791 518 235 514 282 119 17 0
ODI 1815 160 60 391 654 377 56 0
CDI 0 104 85 352 676 1767 731 0
VCDI 0 115 55 247 700 2510 9221 4530
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56097 15051 251 262 88 0 0 0
OW 717 1445 312 361 94 15 2 0
VODI 1781 504 250 528 307 121 21 0
ODI 1829 149 103 383 567 374 92 0
CDI 0 83 70 426 579 1318 576 12
VCDI 0 96 56 364 498 2692 8982 5406
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56239 15428 173 186 18 0 0 0
OW 764 1528 272 381 82 12 2 0
VODI 1785 402 291 794 384 94 41 0
ODI 1824 81 60 326 564 362 52 0
CDI 0 45 45 278 854 1384 638 3
VCDI 0 34 19 124 233 2543 9538 4979
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57005 14826 143 83 20 4 0 0
OW 734 1668 187 260 92 26 1 0
VODI 1783 760 261 550 265 128 31 0
ODI 1827 251 115 372 365 249 35 0
CDI 0 138 86 480 744 1211 710 1
VCDI 0 173 87 199 458 2808 10284 3442
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56998 14964 140 92 23 6 0 0
OW 741 1597 209 249 93 29 3 0
VODI 1785 727 243 547 310 130 29 0
ODI 1825 225 112 357 326 261 34 0
CDI 0 129 82 489 733 1199 737 7
VCDI 0 174 93 210 459 2801 10258 3436

Date: 2024-02-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57444 14182 144 82 14 1 0 0
OW 732 1518 220 323 110 33 8 0
VODI 1780 755 215 461 301 71 17 0
ODI 1831 283 121 380 391 190 15 0
CDI 0 169 86 431 909 1342 736 9
VCDI 0 208 94 242 440 2666 9376 4532
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57448 14278 142 112 16 1 0 0
OW 729 1461 235 293 117 33 8 0
VODI 1780 752 201 454 303 81 19 0
ODI 1830 275 128 379 395 193 17 0
CDI 0 140 78 444 902 1424 782 9
VCDI 0 209 96 237 432 2571 9326 4532

Date: 2024-02-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56416 15083 165 98 13 1 0 0
OW 718 1580 320 392 68 24 7 0
VODI 1794 425 281 846 366 74 16 0
ODI 1812 53 58 367 774 267 35 0
CDI 0 22 40 250 1086 2024 833 0
VCDI 0 0 1 51 362 2628 10152 3360
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56421 14780 196 138 13 2 0 0
OW 707 1274 229 298 96 34 9 0
VODI 1776 765 222 535 251 50 26 0
ODI 1836 241 127 457 589 221 65 0
CDI 0 90 69 434 1086 1601 798 0
VCDI 0 13 22 142 634 3110 10145 3360

Date: 2024-02-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57183 14346 116 115 32 8 2 0
OW 687 1524 270 268 91 37 24 0
VODI 1784 511 265 519 277 55 25 0
ODI 1826 86 69 418 485 250 42 0
CDI 0 52 46 254 1189 1857 1064 0
VCDI 0 13 14 42 583 3154 9508 3771
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57137 13794 117 103 26 15 7 0
OW 714 1351 162 217 59 17 15 0
VODI 1781 916 248 348 222 50 21 0
ODI 1848 316 147 453 461 218 55 0
CDI 0 109 83 375 1163 1795 1108 0
VCDI 0 46 23 120 726 3266 9459 3771

Date: 2024-02-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57650 13628 143 139 47 3 0 0
OW 688 1428 205 290 123 24 14 0
VODI 1777 597 203 411 276 80 66 0
ODI 1835 174 118 362 472 336 92 0
CDI 0 90 74 292 785 1710 1154 0
VCDI 0 37 35 175 585 2837 9578 4329
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57585 13003 152 158 60 9 5 0
OW 700 1349 173 243 92 17 17 0
VODI 1806 912 198 366 199 76 61 0
ODI 1859 397 104 383 418 233 85 0
CDI 0 226 90 289 853 1526 1137 8
VCDI 0 67 61 230 666 3129 9599 4321


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