Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2024-02-15

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-02-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 121 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 183 15 14 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 104 32 48 15 0 0 0
ODI 0 34 11 22 29 7 0 0
CDI 0 39 7 9 47 45 11 0
VCDI 0 165 40 139 401 1906 7844 20794
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 90 1 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 118 11 17 18 0 0 0
VODI 0 96 24 32 23 0 0 0
ODI 0 20 7 26 25 3 0 0
CDI 0 36 8 17 48 28 11 0
VCDI 0 127 24 88 401 2004 7746 21033
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 122 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 142 16 8 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 45 25 77 46 0 0 0
ODI 0 27 1 14 35 1 0 0
CDI 0 49 13 24 31 43 13 0
VCDI 0 53 17 102 212 1467 6945 22554
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 160 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 159 6 1 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 81 11 36 4 0 0 0
ODI 0 40 8 6 4 0 0 0
CDI 0 49 13 17 22 16 1 0
VCDI 0 123 30 110 228 1275 7809 21873
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 152 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 168 5 1 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 80 11 36 5 0 0 0
ODI 0 40 8 5 3 0 0 0
CDI 0 54 14 19 24 20 1 0
VCDI 0 118 30 109 226 1271 7809 21873

Date: 2024-02-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 231 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 157 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 88 14 6 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 54 1 6 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 106 17 10 15 18 4 0
VCDI 0 330 83 200 289 1258 8842 20353
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 238 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 151 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 90 14 7 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 57 2 5 1 0 0 0
CDI 0 107 20 10 14 20 3 0
VCDI 0 323 79 200 289 1256 8843 20353

Date: 2024-02-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 286 1 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 196 21 10 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 149 11 11 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 80 15 27 1 2 0 0
CDI 0 87 34 102 27 47 37 0
VCDI 0 40 49 234 263 1037 10567 18747
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 207 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 121 7 2 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 128 8 8 2 0 0 0
ODI 0 102 13 6 0 2 1 0
CDI 0 90 7 25 10 42 41 0
VCDI 0 190 96 343 280 1042 10562 18747

Date: 2024-02-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 225 4 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 102 11 8 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 97 23 42 8 0 0 0
ODI 0 65 16 11 13 1 0 0
CDI 0 53 16 35 105 48 33 1
VCDI 0 41 19 68 377 1037 9395 20227
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 150 4 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 100 3 6 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 99 9 13 2 0 0 0
ODI 0 76 20 15 3 0 0 0
CDI 0 117 33 42 48 49 15 0
VCDI 0 41 20 88 450 1037 9413 20228

Date: 2024-02-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 177 5 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 97 6 12 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 54 15 14 12 0 0 0
ODI 0 42 9 64 21 0 0 0
CDI 0 30 11 60 78 17 18 0
VCDI 0 32 15 58 286 960 9766 20219
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 137 2 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 80 8 9 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 85 7 12 9 0 0 0
ODI 0 40 12 35 9 0 0 0
CDI 0 46 8 86 47 14 24 0
VCDI 0 44 24 67 335 963 9760 20219


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