Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-02-15

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-02-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55823 15624 289 283 28 3 0 0
OW 725 1654 246 307 94 36 1 0
VODI 1791 622 267 562 297 119 17 0
ODI 1815 194 71 413 683 386 56 0
CDI 0 143 92 361 733 1848 763 0
VCDI 0 280 95 386 1169 5949 26518 60067
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56097 15141 252 262 88 0 0 0
OW 717 1563 323 378 112 15 2 0
VODI 1781 600 274 560 330 121 21 0
ODI 1829 169 110 409 592 377 92 0
CDI 0 119 78 443 627 1351 590 13
VCDI 0 223 80 452 1013 6145 27298 60163
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56239 15550 173 186 18 0 0 0
OW 764 1670 288 389 82 12 2 0
VODI 1785 447 316 871 430 94 41 0
ODI 1824 108 61 340 599 363 52 0
CDI 0 94 58 302 885 1428 655 5
VCDI 0 87 38 266 551 4996 27887 60854
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57005 14986 143 83 20 4 0 0
OW 734 1827 193 261 92 26 1 0
VODI 1783 841 272 586 269 128 31 0
ODI 1827 291 123 378 369 249 35 0
CDI 0 187 99 497 766 1231 725 8
VCDI 0 296 117 309 760 5143 32455 55660
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56998 15116 140 92 23 6 0 0
OW 741 1765 214 250 93 29 3 0
VODI 1785 807 254 583 315 130 29 0
ODI 1825 265 120 362 329 261 34 0
CDI 0 183 96 508 757 1221 750 11
VCDI 0 292 123 319 759 5134 32431 55657

Date: 2024-02-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57444 14413 144 82 14 1 0 0
OW 732 1675 220 323 110 33 8 0
VODI 1780 843 229 467 301 71 17 0
ODI 1831 337 122 386 391 190 15 0
CDI 0 275 103 441 924 1360 742 9
VCDI 0 538 177 442 748 4457 27341 61074
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57448 14516 142 112 16 1 0 0
OW 729 1612 235 293 117 33 8 0
VODI 1780 842 215 461 303 81 19 0
ODI 1830 332 130 384 396 193 17 0
CDI 0 247 98 454 916 1444 791 9
VCDI 0 532 175 437 740 4360 27288 61074

Date: 2024-02-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56416 15369 166 98 13 1 0 0
OW 718 1776 341 402 68 24 7 0
VODI 1794 574 292 857 367 74 16 0
ODI 1812 133 73 394 777 269 35 0
CDI 0 109 74 353 1119 2088 878 0
VCDI 0 40 50 308 688 4391 29591 58255
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56421 14987 196 138 13 2 0 0
OW 707 1395 236 300 96 34 9 0
VODI 1776 893 230 543 253 50 26 0
ODI 1836 343 140 463 592 225 66 0
CDI 0 180 76 461 1102 1659 852 0
VCDI 0 203 118 507 976 4877 29574 58255

Date: 2024-02-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57183 14571 120 116 32 8 2 0
OW 687 1626 281 276 91 37 24 0
VODI 1784 608 288 561 285 55 25 0
ODI 1826 151 85 429 498 252 42 0
CDI 0 106 63 292 1299 1928 1107 1
VCDI 0 63 46 157 1104 5254 31925 55522
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57137 13944 121 104 26 15 7 0
OW 714 1451 165 223 59 17 15 0
VODI 1781 1015 257 361 224 50 21 0
ODI 1848 392 167 468 464 218 55 0
CDI 0 226 117 421 1218 1857 1124 0
VCDI 0 97 56 254 1318 5377 31903 55523

Date: 2024-02-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57650 13805 148 140 47 3 0 0
OW 688 1525 211 302 126 24 14 0
VODI 1777 651 218 425 288 80 66 0
ODI 1835 216 127 426 493 336 92 0
CDI 0 120 85 352 865 1729 1173 2
VCDI 0 69 50 264 1012 4685 31682 57009
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57585 13140 154 158 60 9 5 0
OW 700 1429 181 252 92 17 17 0
VODI 1806 997 205 378 208 76 61 0
ODI 1859 437 116 418 427 233 86 0
CDI 0 272 98 375 900 1547 1181 15
VCDI 0 111 85 328 1144 4975 31677 56996


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