Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-02-08

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-02-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58954 12844 176 208 33 7 1 0
OW 715 1403 229 276 85 38 8 0
VODI 1803 537 236 549 343 113 8 0
ODI 1802 170 68 280 608 288 56 0
CDI 0 274 113 356 859 1470 787 3
VCDI 0 285 67 152 286 2723 9870 3779
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58122 13426 126 129 30 2 0 0
OW 724 1655 222 265 87 35 5 0
VODI 1800 583 223 498 253 127 17 0
ODI 1806 180 96 319 522 255 63 0
CDI 0 212 111 389 676 1385 814 9
VCDI 0 418 68 160 412 2930 10530 3178
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58517 13725 86 67 25 3 0 0
OW 819 1594 288 267 96 23 6 0
VODI 1810 419 265 548 281 81 21 0
ODI 1795 182 120 371 550 224 39 0
CDI 0 184 101 337 611 1864 729 0
VCDI 0 78 47 170 469 2583 8231 5236
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56855 15039 160 74 20 3 2 0
OW 748 1563 206 221 103 22 13 0
VODI 1796 505 236 510 287 92 26 0
ODI 1810 175 78 348 583 358 50 0
CDI 0 126 86 330 637 1869 1041 0
VCDI 0 116 60 299 587 2230 9349 4249
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56868 15078 171 88 19 2 2 0
OW 734 1527 198 227 108 26 13 0
VODI 1798 496 233 468 274 97 24 0
ODI 1809 188 77 357 588 356 56 0
CDI 0 121 86 340 631 1801 963 0
VCDI 0 114 61 302 597 2292 9423 4249

Date: 2024-02-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55739 15471 279 301 26 0 0 0
OW 698 1453 264 368 99 19 2 0
VODI 1787 490 228 560 293 115 24 0
ODI 1821 149 90 363 591 408 79 0
CDI 0 106 83 409 581 1493 592 0
VCDI 0 151 47 279 612 2567 8848 5377
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55740 15544 288 302 27 2 0 0
OW 697 1388 275 397 111 25 4 0
VODI 1788 479 193 520 296 117 25 0
ODI 1820 152 98 350 562 392 73 0
CDI 0 124 94 409 557 1476 602 2
VCDI 0 133 43 302 649 2590 8841 5375

Date: 2024-02-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55997 15534 242 278 13 0 0 0
OW 764 1642 329 319 77 5 2 0
VODI 1789 314 260 890 422 78 23 0
ODI 1818 45 46 341 596 432 67 0
CDI 0 59 41 287 721 1525 620 0
VCDI 0 28 29 139 275 2294 8707 5814
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56054 15160 233 325 40 1 0 0
OW 702 1386 223 357 97 22 4 0
VODI 1777 608 217 519 330 119 47 0
ODI 1835 240 103 342 460 314 90 0
CDI 0 127 108 412 596 1249 776 9
VCDI 0 101 63 299 581 2629 8502 5805

Date: 2024-02-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56564 15252 156 102 15 1 0 0
OW 735 1576 234 316 73 19 3 0
VODI 1783 548 295 708 341 127 39 0
ODI 1827 145 78 352 438 325 46 0
CDI 0 55 53 353 847 1320 481 3
VCDI 0 38 44 187 307 3073 8720 5283
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56595 14935 145 131 30 5 0 0
OW 702 1368 191 276 86 26 9 0
VODI 1776 716 199 460 274 142 46 0
ODI 1836 334 149 292 362 313 59 0
CDI 0 182 131 524 711 1165 364 0
VCDI 0 79 45 335 558 3214 8811 5286

Date: 2024-02-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57770 14065 124 92 20 0 0 0
OW 731 1620 200 260 109 37 3 0
VODI 1782 819 199 423 224 114 15 0
ODI 1828 302 135 350 408 169 42 0
CDI 0 154 99 529 761 1208 776 2
VCDI 0 241 69 214 474 2693 11694 2107
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57759 13572 178 199 63 13 2 0
OW 733 1396 146 240 93 44 7 0
VODI 1784 910 150 314 226 126 24 0
ODI 1835 488 123 264 279 175 64 0
CDI 0 406 105 324 615 973 486 0
VCDI 0 429 124 527 720 2890 11947 2109


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