Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2024-02-08

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-02-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81 75 0 1 0 0 0 0
OW 89 130 7 8 1 0 0 0
VODI 24 177 8 10 13 0 0 0
ODI 0 65 12 18 10 5 0 0
CDI 0 117 24 65 55 50 16 0
VCDI 0 551 131 379 805 2318 7115 19722
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 113 78 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 66 163 2 1 4 0 0 0
VODI 23 132 17 28 7 6 0 0
ODI 0 81 13 38 21 7 1 0
CDI 0 109 21 49 70 63 37 0
VCDI 0 557 111 364 730 2458 7657 19055
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 24 184 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 19 252 15 10 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 88 6 31 24 0 0 0
ODI 0 51 4 27 35 2 1 0
CDI 0 123 22 55 83 99 60 0
VCDI 0 81 45 265 615 2346 8304 19209
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 141 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 200 22 16 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 97 20 53 25 0 0 0
ODI 0 37 2 16 30 5 1 0
CDI 0 39 2 20 60 56 11 0
VCDI 0 128 33 156 394 2112 7738 20665
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 145 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 205 24 17 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 101 20 58 29 0 0 0
ODI 0 37 1 13 29 4 1 0
CDI 0 38 2 19 61 64 14 0
VCDI 0 116 32 154 390 2105 7735 20665

Date: 2024-02-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 103 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 152 19 22 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 98 21 51 13 0 0 0
ODI 0 33 15 28 19 1 0 0
CDI 0 46 2 17 60 36 11 0
VCDI 0 149 28 138 359 1917 8193 20551
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 113 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 156 19 29 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 91 23 48 16 0 0 0
ODI 0 47 13 30 20 2 0 0
CDI 0 42 2 14 60 34 11 0
VCDI 0 132 28 135 355 1918 8193 20551

Date: 2024-02-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 112 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 154 17 7 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 65 28 78 58 2 0 0
ODI 0 39 6 10 48 15 0 0
CDI 0 46 16 31 39 88 3 0
VCDI 0 13 7 72 274 1665 7757 21432
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 102 2 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 89 15 18 21 0 0 0
VODI 0 88 23 33 28 5 0 0
ODI 0 17 2 25 26 3 0 0
CDI 0 25 6 24 35 22 5 0
VCDI 0 108 26 98 309 1740 7755 21432

Date: 2024-02-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 141 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 162 2 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 71 35 50 5 0 0 0
ODI 0 32 6 23 5 0 0 0
CDI 0 48 10 29 20 31 9 0
VCDI 0 94 21 62 228 1322 7121 22555
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 133 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 69 10 7 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 128 13 37 3 0 0 0
ODI 0 44 14 20 4 2 0 0
CDI 0 33 3 8 12 17 7 0
VCDI 0 141 34 92 239 1334 7123 22555

Date: 2024-02-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 189 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 170 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 85 15 13 3 0 0 0
ODI 0 45 7 4 3 0 0 0
CDI 0 73 12 13 6 8 2 0
VCDI 0 241 56 178 267 1302 8857 20533
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 162 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 87 6 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 77 12 14 3 0 0 0
ODI 0 45 3 3 3 0 0 0
CDI 0 84 3 4 2 10 4 8
VCDI 0 348 66 187 271 1300 8855 20525


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