Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-02-01

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-01-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60022 12270 74 64 32 1 0 0
OW 734 1504 177 213 99 12 1 0
VODI 1799 837 234 519 318 87 13 0
ODI 1807 366 128 326 493 228 23 0
CDI 0 326 92 314 706 1353 339 70
VCDI 0 313 98 300 522 5309 35107 53580
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60453 11724 107 53 21 5 0 0
OW 724 1629 158 174 102 45 0 0
VODI 1790 910 213 496 306 112 31 0
ODI 1818 359 127 279 473 230 49 0
CDI 0 335 92 307 690 873 288 27
VCDI 0 503 179 405 752 4628 33375 55968
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60653 12164 131 53 18 13 0 0
OW 745 2072 188 182 70 28 2 0
VODI 1804 634 242 543 298 81 12 0
ODI 1800 214 56 236 428 314 52 0
CDI 0 396 101 318 646 1097 446 3
VCDI 0 398 128 406 1059 5761 31806 55212
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60480 12004 103 47 23 6 0 0
OW 780 1723 178 187 66 27 7 0
VODI 1806 821 263 517 273 78 19 0
ODI 1800 237 89 340 563 259 49 0
CDI 0 457 127 356 898 1597 690 1
VCDI 0 757 173 440 1084 6481 28281 56723
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60477 11986 102 58 23 7 0 0
OW 783 1741 188 181 60 27 7 0
VODI 1806 809 251 517 281 81 20 0
ODI 1800 267 99 331 564 269 44 0
CDI 0 428 117 340 884 1605 738 1
VCDI 0 768 176 460 1095 6459 28237 56723

Date: 2024-02-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58644 13143 159 204 34 0 0 0
OW 780 1682 251 274 99 21 1 0
VODI 1824 683 241 554 324 132 7 0
ODI 1803 241 73 367 599 320 77 0
CDI 0 318 149 435 761 1555 850 15
VCDI 0 966 180 597 1383 6901 24398 59765
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58659 13135 174 221 39 1 0 0
OW 773 1652 226 279 103 21 2 0
VODI 1817 732 248 519 328 146 8 0
ODI 1802 231 78 378 573 311 72 0
CDI 0 314 133 430 775 1626 915 68
VCDI 0 969 194 604 1382 6824 24336 59712

Date: 2024-02-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58680 13895 83 73 20 2 0 0
OW 796 1991 323 275 73 18 2 0
VODI 1817 424 244 681 383 71 13 0
ODI 1784 222 111 377 628 297 29 0
CDI 0 572 110 356 736 1946 753 0
VCDI 0 107 75 303 970 6336 28844 56390
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58691 13038 91 97 20 5 0 0
OW 780 1782 203 248 118 43 13 0
VODI 1794 927 213 447 203 129 15 0
ODI 1812 304 124 331 463 214 49 1
CDI 0 380 129 423 738 1441 751 58
VCDI 0 780 186 519 1268 6838 28813 56331

Date: 2024-02-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58259 14055 107 60 28 4 0 0
OW 794 1778 220 277 117 22 8 0
VODI 1807 599 245 569 303 84 28 0
ODI 1800 201 105 380 634 246 42 0
CDI 0 212 83 329 817 2076 848 1
VCDI 0 288 101 453 1069 5660 27637 58464
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58222 13137 102 77 39 14 2 0
OW 771 1755 139 194 135 63 29 0
VODI 1840 914 203 343 190 81 46 0
ODI 1827 396 113 353 493 226 35 0
CDI 0 367 116 410 775 1764 720 3
VCDI 0 564 188 691 1336 5944 27731 58462

Date: 2024-02-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55823 15624 289 283 28 3 0 0
OW 725 1654 246 307 94 36 1 0
VODI 1791 622 267 562 297 119 17 0
ODI 1815 194 71 413 683 386 56 0
CDI 0 143 92 361 733 1848 763 0
VCDI 0 280 95 386 1169 5949 26518 60067
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55839 14763 288 296 77 26 0 0
OW 703 1539 168 247 118 88 15 0
VODI 1776 1006 223 462 182 123 35 0
ODI 1836 372 122 356 524 253 40 0
CDI 0 350 120 306 709 1570 660 2
VCDI 0 487 139 645 1394 6281 26605 60065


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