Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-01-25

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-01-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60614 12467 108 99 17 0 0 0
OW 810 1916 162 168 53 24 0 0
VODI 1832 815 213 289 148 29 4 0
ODI 1760 276 101 285 234 99 40 0
CDI 0 181 122 291 452 842 437 0
VCDI 0 29 44 216 449 2868 10553 3815
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60206 12914 83 65 17 2 0 0
OW 816 1600 195 202 50 27 1 0
VODI 1824 585 203 400 136 40 19 0
ODI 1773 227 99 335 223 137 34 0
CDI 0 208 72 301 492 1027 683 3
VCDI 0 19 23 103 467 2474 10587 4190
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59340 13477 201 102 38 15 0 0
OW 773 1565 167 209 93 8 0 0
VODI 1817 468 230 492 358 63 3 0
ODI 1784 142 101 314 459 190 13 0
CDI 0 131 40 197 542 1447 488 0
VCDI 0 84 38 91 302 2183 9721 5176
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59671 12695 156 84 35 11 0 0
OW 730 1502 190 212 71 22 0 0
VODI 1805 664 233 491 253 102 10 0
ODI 1800 226 123 377 386 255 20 0
CDI 0 217 68 284 663 1300 414 52
VCDI 0 134 54 208 349 2622 9279 5094
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59673 12838 157 96 35 12 0 0
OW 728 1381 197 207 74 27 1 0
VODI 1805 646 226 474 260 98 9 0
ODI 1800 234 118 358 381 258 19 0
CDI 0 207 71 316 667 1296 401 35
VCDI 0 132 55 205 340 2621 9293 5111

Date: 2024-01-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60382 11804 69 49 20 2 0 0
OW 735 1497 139 172 158 10 0 0
VODI 1794 827 213 458 347 64 15 0
ODI 1812 313 129 311 468 221 41 0
CDI 0 283 95 305 719 1167 272 72
VCDI 0 323 102 306 498 2988 10274 3408
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60385 11899 78 55 27 3 0 0
OW 732 1458 134 168 141 8 2 0
VODI 1794 798 221 457 370 68 14 0
ODI 1812 287 114 305 474 231 41 0
CDI 0 285 95 305 704 1150 239 49
VCDI 0 320 105 311 494 2992 10306 3431

Date: 2024-01-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60725 12108 119 49 7 5 0 0
OW 731 2027 207 159 56 13 1 0
VODI 1805 395 283 629 344 48 14 0
ODI 1799 134 42 243 467 318 20 0
CDI 0 385 118 270 645 1082 196 0
VCDI 0 36 38 175 540 2923 9185 4521
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60721 11719 121 55 10 2 0 0
OW 730 1511 136 146 66 51 1 0
VODI 1790 806 206 377 291 138 29 0
ODI 1819 310 114 271 329 193 35 0
CDI 0 372 120 342 618 747 251 8
VCDI 0 367 110 334 745 3258 9100 4513

Date: 2024-01-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61236 11379 80 49 24 8 2 0
OW 732 1697 152 158 63 28 7 0
VODI 1806 621 272 446 256 69 16 0
ODI 1800 174 67 408 549 235 59 0
CDI 0 376 107 300 964 949 462 1
VCDI 0 209 66 223 452 2399 10110 3851
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61152 10927 107 76 53 25 6 0
OW 806 1299 132 204 75 54 19 0
VODI 1794 782 166 307 245 139 50 0
ODI 1822 404 96 279 404 110 60 0
CDI 0 673 140 385 834 634 519 5
VCDI 0 371 103 333 697 2726 10002 3847

Date: 2024-02-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58954 12844 176 208 33 7 1 0
OW 715 1403 229 276 85 38 8 0
VODI 1803 537 236 549 343 113 8 0
ODI 1802 170 68 280 608 288 56 0
CDI 0 274 113 356 859 1470 787 3
VCDI 0 285 67 152 286 2723 9870 3779
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58853 12344 270 428 126 43 4 0
OW 795 1166 149 225 181 69 13 0
VODI 1800 762 128 274 318 171 66 0
ODI 1826 362 113 260 383 215 64 0
CDI 0 428 88 284 668 1044 537 0
VCDI 0 451 141 350 538 3097 10046 3782


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