Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2024-01-25

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-01-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 14 0 0 5 3 0 0
VODI 0 88 13 35 38 4 0 0
ODI 0 62 14 8 2 7 1 0
CDI 0 38 3 10 5 16 9 0
VCDI 0 17 8 39 64 654 8723 22202
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 22 2 2 9 9 0 0
VODI 0 55 5 9 29 22 0 0
ODI 0 103 4 1 2 0 0 0
CDI 0 58 16 42 24 45 62 0
VCDI 0 0 1 25 100 717 13959 16759
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 82 9 5 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 40 5 7 12 33 2 0
ODI 0 16 17 26 12 17 10 0
CDI 0 0 2 16 36 122 46 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 28 385 9383 21767
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 55 9 9 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 57 19 32 28 2 0 0
ODI 0 35 17 13 10 14 0 0
CDI 0 41 18 18 16 57 10 0
VCDI 0 5 6 32 49 385 8835 22310
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 64 10 8 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 53 22 33 28 4 0 0
ODI 0 26 13 13 9 11 0 0
CDI 0 43 18 18 18 59 14 0
VCDI 0 7 6 32 48 384 8831 22310

Date: 2024-01-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 13 14 5 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 54 24 46 36 8 0 0
ODI 0 42 17 14 16 8 1 0
CDI 0 46 16 17 19 11 1 0
VCDI 0 43 34 49 84 663 13907 16894
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 17 16 6 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 57 22 47 39 9 0 0
ODI 0 35 18 14 10 7 1 0
CDI 0 44 18 17 23 14 3 0
VCDI 0 44 31 47 83 660 13905 16894

Date: 2024-01-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 11 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 231 14 21 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 92 2 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 34 1 1 3 2 1 0
CDI 0 79 17 19 21 21 7 0
VCDI 0 116 28 93 236 932 9646 20450
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 34 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 164 10 10 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 96 6 12 5 2 0 0
CDI 0 64 1 6 14 19 4 0
VCDI 0 205 45 106 244 934 9650 20450

Date: 2024-01-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19 73 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 58 178 0 1 2 0 0 0
VODI 6 146 6 4 3 2 0 0
ODI 0 54 7 13 8 4 0 0
CDI 0 88 17 36 41 56 12 0
VCDI 0 386 76 195 487 2186 9427 18491
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 6 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 21 38 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 56 103 0 2 1 0 0 0
ODI 6 125 1 2 6 1 0 0
CDI 0 204 22 27 38 50 14 0
VCDI 0 449 83 218 496 2197 9425 18491

Date: 2024-02-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81 75 0 1 0 0 0 0
OW 89 130 7 8 1 0 0 0
VODI 24 177 8 10 13 0 0 0
ODI 0 65 12 18 10 5 0 0
CDI 0 117 24 65 55 50 16 0
VCDI 0 551 131 379 805 2318 7115 19722
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10 7 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 42 13 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 103 41 2 3 1 0 0 0
ODI 33 81 2 12 4 0 0 0
CDI 6 228 11 20 27 22 8 0
VCDI 0 745 167 446 852 2351 7123 19722


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