Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-01-11

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-01-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62338 12504 370 138 13 1 0 0
OW 891 1101 206 265 123 18 0 0
VODI 1892 469 162 314 296 81 16 0
ODI 1978 218 66 202 307 176 15 0
CDI 0 174 56 246 559 1025 688 4
VCDI 0 0 6 71 248 2367 10788 2470
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61908 12153 304 125 65 0 0 0
OW 784 1159 271 297 143 29 0 0
VODI 1890 478 144 368 301 116 4 0
ODI 1750 166 56 194 385 244 28 0
CDI 0 158 33 207 568 1364 1172 0
VCDI 0 27 14 94 267 2081 9661 3854
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61559 12938 148 89 21 2 1 0
OW 756 1389 273 179 51 5 7 0
VODI 1753 333 231 428 310 40 13 0
ODI 1960 58 66 284 393 231 17 0
CDI 0 6 19 217 548 1495 417 0
VCDI 0 0 0 31 276 2308 9474 4536
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60863 13136 95 79 20 3 0 0
OW 789 1446 180 199 60 6 1 0
VODI 1851 592 211 431 274 44 3 0
ODI 1735 160 95 226 445 276 11 0
CDI 0 56 37 234 577 1450 465 0
VCDI 0 8 7 46 245 2376 11011 3119
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60863 13235 103 104 36 3 0 0
OW 787 1342 182 189 60 10 2 0
VODI 1853 597 192 406 267 44 4 0
ODI 1735 152 104 224 434 259 13 0
CDI 0 60 36 249 587 1494 527 0
VCDI 0 12 8 43 237 2345 10945 3119

Date: 2024-01-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60179 13223 93 81 25 13 0 0
OW 801 1552 185 203 73 27 7 0
VODI 1849 629 219 449 273 67 32 0
ODI 1740 192 73 286 398 279 41 0
CDI 0 134 86 256 602 1267 415 0
VCDI 0 19 21 129 373 3326 11022 2223
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60178 13299 114 104 29 16 0 0
OW 801 1495 164 200 79 26 7 0
VODI 1850 609 225 445 269 71 36 0
ODI 1740 179 67 270 379 284 44 0
CDI 0 138 82 254 611 1245 441 0
VCDI 0 29 25 131 377 3337 10989 2223

Date: 2024-01-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59835 13401 81 93 23 7 2 0
OW 831 2099 293 230 67 34 11 0
VODI 1852 358 258 693 215 50 18 0
ODI 1735 69 55 272 481 146 23 0
CDI 0 64 36 194 607 1397 256 0
VCDI 0 11 12 93 263 2662 10304 3731
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59841 12955 100 97 43 17 7 0
OW 817 1731 192 187 67 42 16 0
VODI 1838 779 262 455 154 65 29 0
ODI 1757 224 74 374 304 117 43 0
CDI 0 205 59 252 662 974 326 0
VCDI 0 108 48 210 426 3081 10193 3731

Date: 2024-01-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60386 12627 83 69 15 2 0 0
OW 792 1970 256 230 106 28 3 0
VODI 1836 567 330 448 218 65 4 0
ODI 1754 92 85 374 294 127 18 0
CDI 0 71 40 364 708 887 349 0
VCDI 0 90 29 133 407 3666 9785 3554
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60386 12231 83 72 34 13 0 0
OW 784 1777 174 181 78 42 2 0
VODI 1830 850 300 345 196 73 15 0
ODI 1768 243 128 401 227 138 38 0
CDI 0 154 91 396 681 749 324 0
VCDI 0 162 47 223 532 3760 9780 3554

Date: 2024-01-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60614 12467 108 99 17 0 0 0
OW 810 1916 162 168 53 24 0 0
VODI 1832 815 213 289 148 29 4 0
ODI 1760 276 101 285 234 99 40 0
CDI 0 181 122 291 452 842 437 0
VCDI 0 29 44 216 449 2868 10553 3815
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60566 11484 95 102 29 8 0 0
OW 846 1879 105 117 52 25 2 0
VODI 1819 1386 173 218 111 45 10 0
ODI 1785 491 153 263 177 93 27 0
CDI 0 357 148 374 440 679 650 0
VCDI 0 87 76 274 544 3012 10345 3815


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