Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2024-01-11

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-01-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 12 77 33 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 11 142 44 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 18 168 302 163 5
VCDI 0 0 15 174 633 3638 13844 26587
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 25 38 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 45 196 114 3
VCDI 0 7 7 72 632 3506 16380 24837
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 18 124 89 10
VCDI 0 1 3 83 542 3748 17201 24043
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 2 6 8 0 0
CDI 0 0 4 7 27 75 24 0
VCDI 0 9 10 56 381 2870 15558 26829
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 1 6 10 0 0
CDI 0 0 4 5 22 74 22 0
VCDI 0 9 10 59 386 2869 15560 26829

Date: 2024-01-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 2 2 2 13 10 0 0
CDI 0 5 6 20 95 144 11 0
VCDI 0 14 17 125 1020 3715 17097 23568
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 3 2 4 13 6 0 0
CDI 0 4 6 21 102 162 10 0
VCDI 0 14 17 122 1013 3701 17098 23568

Date: 2024-01-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 5 3 0 0 0
ODI 0 2 1 16 21 15 0 0
CDI 0 16 11 30 157 143 25 1
VCDI 0 17 32 189 1087 3965 16609 23521
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 2 1 12 13 14 0 0
CDI 0 4 9 38 101 138 26 1
VCDI 0 29 34 189 1153 3971 16608 23521

Date: 2024-01-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 4 2 1 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 34 80 154 35 3
VCDI 0 4 17 80 801 4599 16276 23776
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 3 7 16 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 11 39 184 63 0
VCDI 0 4 17 104 837 4551 16245 23779

Date: 2024-01-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 2 20 2 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 3 85 57 33 0
VCDI 0 4 6 86 728 3235 13910 27693
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 8 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 57 56 49 0
VCDI 0 5 6 89 769 3238 13894 27693


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