Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-01-04

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-12-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65575 10864 152 117 18 0 0 0
OW 938 999 108 203 83 28 0 0
VODI 1841 482 161 232 164 60 18 0
ODI 1848 173 51 215 309 110 21 0
CDI 0 132 49 149 449 834 625 0
VCDI 0 59 41 167 517 3243 8255 3572
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-12-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64864 11359 129 143 34 6 0 0
OW 909 1063 95 129 102 23 1 0
VODI 1815 685 123 189 138 56 16 0
ODI 1875 305 61 185 248 99 33 0
CDI 0 271 110 232 412 982 408 0
VCDI 0 132 80 293 579 2917 8657 3104
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64157 12088 144 82 9 0 0 0
OW 982 1217 182 211 58 1 0 0
VODI 1850 447 181 325 176 65 7 0
ODI 1884 160 77 285 237 139 15 0
CDI 0 80 93 339 697 899 476 0
VCDI 0 11 18 111 413 2285 10431 2030
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63298 12352 151 122 8 0 0 0
OW 899 1065 199 284 145 11 0 0
VODI 1912 429 159 323 251 51 15 0
ODI 1920 201 72 225 276 124 20 0
CDI 0 129 49 237 578 957 472 0
VCDI 0 5 11 101 353 2474 10262 2722
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63300 12366 159 129 8 0 0 0
OW 914 1064 197 293 135 12 0 0
VODI 1902 430 154 316 268 54 20 0
ODI 1913 199 73 209 251 121 16 0
CDI 0 113 45 245 577 939 468 0
VCDI 0 9 13 100 372 2491 10265 2722

Date: 2024-01-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62088 12277 189 194 49 0 0 0
OW 834 1124 222 289 148 47 2 0
VODI 1813 462 143 330 301 110 23 0
ODI 1982 215 74 182 330 255 33 0
CDI 0 162 74 252 584 1255 898 0
VCDI 0 13 3 41 286 2136 10329 3113
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62094 12335 200 200 60 0 0 0
OW 834 1098 218 297 141 52 2 0
VODI 1813 446 139 319 302 112 29 0
ODI 1976 211 69 177 317 235 38 0
CDI 0 155 76 236 561 1299 947 0
VCDI 0 8 3 59 317 2105 10269 3113

Date: 2024-01-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62008 12392 268 93 8 0 0 0
OW 796 1484 220 212 47 9 0 0
VODI 1756 280 212 501 337 57 6 0
ODI 1956 22 46 228 545 247 13 0
CDI 0 1 12 140 567 1738 576 0
VCDI 0 0 0 14 163 1921 9427 4560
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62070 11904 292 141 21 0 0 0
OW 836 1252 144 238 108 20 2 0
VODI 1863 657 145 275 297 69 13 0
ODI 1747 225 82 187 356 199 25 0
CDI 0 101 70 280 626 1450 1059 8
VCDI 0 40 25 67 259 2234 8923 4552

Date: 2024-01-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61126 13161 98 113 33 5 1 0
OW 776 1346 241 231 90 9 4 0
VODI 1861 432 216 423 277 58 12 0
ODI 1727 93 75 271 405 326 16 0
CDI 0 50 51 175 568 1365 320 0
VCDI 0 3 15 52 321 2376 9460 4680
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61126 12383 108 111 48 7 3 0
OW 770 1420 175 196 78 16 7 0
VODI 1848 794 154 322 298 81 15 0
ODI 1746 300 116 228 289 261 30 0
CDI 0 173 110 299 631 1492 508 0
VCDI 0 15 33 109 350 2282 9250 4680

Date: 2024-01-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60971 12772 113 92 22 9 0 0
OW 815 1434 159 201 67 13 5 0
VODI 1850 629 197 391 271 46 21 0
ODI 1738 213 94 223 384 356 23 0
CDI 0 112 78 255 492 1279 731 0
VCDI 0 4 10 100 287 2096 11764 2545
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60954 11889 160 189 49 12 0 0
OW 811 1565 114 226 157 40 8 0
VODI 1858 913 144 236 284 155 28 0
ODI 1751 431 90 164 252 343 39 0
CDI 0 356 126 334 425 1134 799 0
VCDI 0 10 17 113 356 2115 11670 2545


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