Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2024-01-04

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-12-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16 238 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 1 95 6 3 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 88 13 16 14 0 0 0
ODI 0 42 14 38 158 176 0 0
CDI 0 43 9 39 199 332 22 0
VCDI 0 49 39 92 307 887 6821 22325
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-12-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 22 185 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 120 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 58 15 4 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 53 25 32 27 49 2 0
CDI 0 25 31 70 82 226 12 13
VCDI 0 10 8 79 243 1405 5100 24186
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5 283 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 83 3 1 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 35 7 29 16 2 0 0
ODI 0 22 12 31 27 11 0 0
CDI 0 12 24 87 48 85 4 0
VCDI 0 16 12 75 183 1563 7325 22081
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 208 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 67 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 62 12 9 2 0 0 0
ODI 0 18 18 30 7 6 0 0
CDI 0 26 4 31 113 229 67 0
VCDI 0 105 29 84 149 1032 8535 21239
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 207 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 67 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 66 14 9 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 23 17 32 7 6 0 0
CDI 0 30 4 29 113 244 64 0
VCDI 0 93 28 84 150 1017 8538 21239

Date: 2024-01-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 119 1 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 75 3 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 77 3 2 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 33 22 15 8 0 0 0
CDI 0 39 4 43 123 148 37 0
VCDI 0 107 58 114 193 1834 8257 20767
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 124 2 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 73 2 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 72 1 2 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 36 24 19 9 1 0 0
CDI 0 57 4 40 130 152 41 0
VCDI 0 88 58 113 185 1829 8253 20767

Date: 2024-01-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 100 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 133 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 54 20 12 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 21 14 50 21 0 0 0
CDI 0 36 14 33 97 129 15 0
VCDI 0 15 15 68 168 1500 6725 22842
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 53 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 81 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 95 2 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 48 18 33 6 0 0 0
CDI 0 19 10 26 68 32 5 0
VCDI 0 63 33 104 212 1597 6735 22842

Date: 2024-01-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 45 2 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 109 17 2 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 73 19 9 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 7 9 39 34 0 0 0
CDI 0 1 3 14 80 65 20 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 92 1075 8580 21784
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 6 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 84 9 1 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 91 18 1 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 31 14 32 21 0 0 0
CDI 0 23 7 23 72 43 20 4
VCDI 0 0 2 10 113 1097 8580 21780

Date: 2024-01-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 5 4 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 46 16 31 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 38 26 41 2 0 0 0
ODI 0 1 5 35 41 7 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 11 59 117 86 3
VCDI 0 0 0 0 4 353 8543 22606
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 31 21 30 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 41 23 53 7 0 0 0
ODI 0 3 2 16 23 4 0 0
CDI 0 15 4 21 63 79 32 5
VCDI 0 0 0 0 13 394 8597 22604


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