Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2024-01-04

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-12-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 264 2 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 341 38 37 30 26 0 0
VODI 0 177 63 156 175 169 14 0
ODI 0 118 41 125 240 187 67 0
CDI 0 12 13 31 224 444 228 0
VCDI 0 7 7 32 231 2890 13747 25730
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-12-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 100 7 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 304 44 50 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 140 55 125 155 125 40 0
ODI 0 51 35 138 230 157 117 0
CDI 0 26 25 44 265 458 415 0
VCDI 0 2 5 15 244 2063 13363 27062
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 41 1 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 171 22 16 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 75 23 75 97 31 0 0
ODI 0 6 8 139 101 64 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 82 223 616 249 0
VCDI 0 0 0 10 419 3230 14821 25344
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 16 6 17 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 25 25 83 64 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 61 139 20 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 93 293 294 242 0
VCDI 0 1 4 158 462 4020 16782 23042
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 17 7 20 15 0 0 0
VODI 0 24 23 77 69 9 0 0
ODI 0 0 3 66 150 21 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 85 285 350 252 0
VCDI 0 1 4 164 449 3960 16772 23042

Date: 2024-01-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 18 8 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 80 74 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 76 254 162 5
VCDI 0 5 6 77 622 3426 14336 26712
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 16 12 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 86 51 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 79 315 216 5
VCDI 0 5 6 77 615 3384 14283 26712

Date: 2024-01-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 1 5 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 20 214 142 0
VCDI 0 7 9 73 679 3523 16877 24315
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 2 13 7 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 17 160 154 1
VCDI 0 7 9 73 681 3569 16858 24314

Date: 2024-01-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 4 1 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 14 127 27 1
VCDI 0 8 6 36 422 3147 16833 25238
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 5 6 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 5 110 43 0
VCDI 0 8 6 38 430 3159 16817 25239

Date: 2024-01-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 5 10 10 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 12 83 66 19 1
VCDI 0 5 8 62 937 3063 15626 25958
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 1 12 9 4 0
CDI 0 5 2 3 68 126 85 0
VCDI 0 0 6 74 949 3005 15556 25959


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