Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2023-12-21

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-12-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68415 9764 134 127 42 6 4 0
OW 907 863 158 243 167 21 6 0
VODI 2252 393 119 336 421 188 11 0
ODI 1230 189 65 218 291 244 31 0
CDI 0 186 113 383 474 953 657 0
VCDI 0 8 10 50 162 2637 8558 1826
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-12-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68339 9659 129 107 28 12 3 0
OW 823 892 129 212 119 33 6 0
VODI 2078 492 113 277 293 145 34 0
ODI 1550 233 65 166 284 329 74 0
CDI 0 252 86 313 498 811 575 0
VCDI 0 40 36 98 220 2702 7887 2720
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-12-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68210 9563 119 135 22 2 0 0
OW 816 949 231 219 76 23 0 0
VODI 2010 275 138 558 278 63 10 0
ODI 1632 48 53 246 435 213 24 0
CDI 0 49 33 185 606 1458 460 0
VCDI 0 4 9 47 235 2378 7846 3204
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-12-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66704 10462 201 182 23 0 0 0
OW 803 776 162 269 159 8 0 0
VODI 1956 263 161 309 292 53 10 0
ODI 1700 48 58 235 417 247 29 0
CDI 0 11 33 185 743 1427 784 0
VCDI 0 0 2 25 267 3276 7530 3052
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66704 10441 201 173 35 0 0 0
OW 802 778 165 276 147 9 0 0
VODI 1949 281 157 322 300 60 11 0
ODI 1708 51 59 229 396 249 34 0
CDI 0 9 34 179 750 1432 777 0
VCDI 0 0 1 26 273 3261 7531 3052

Date: 2023-12-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65946 10853 170 103 26 2 0 0
OW 805 828 142 256 120 10 0 0
VODI 1913 297 137 273 299 53 0 0
ODI 1750 107 73 181 334 151 16 0
CDI 0 43 47 245 635 1292 792 0
VCDI 0 0 1 22 343 3564 7730 3303
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65946 10841 170 113 37 1 0 0
OW 804 820 159 244 111 13 0 0
VODI 1911 301 120 296 285 50 0 0
ODI 1753 106 71 156 323 142 15 0
CDI 0 60 49 246 645 1349 800 0
VCDI 0 0 1 25 356 3517 7723 3303

Date: 2023-12-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66209 10599 94 60 9 2 0 0
OW 827 1081 173 188 44 20 0 0
VODI 1885 222 200 413 273 35 1 0
ODI 1793 39 29 203 401 223 12 0
CDI 0 13 24 130 426 1368 535 0
VCDI 0 0 1 1 104 2962 7976 4287
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66223 10285 110 69 8 0 0 0
OW 818 893 137 205 79 25 0 0
VODI 1880 470 134 258 222 72 7 0
ODI 1793 173 65 194 259 165 27 0
CDI 0 125 73 249 435 1071 807 0
VCDI 0 8 2 20 254 3277 7683 4287

Date: 2023-12-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65826 10926 92 67 11 0 0 0
OW 878 1137 123 149 78 16 0 0
VODI 1858 509 163 250 169 49 2 0
ODI 1825 112 85 225 281 117 5 0
CDI 0 63 49 239 437 960 222 0
VCDI 0 4 20 84 539 3603 7984 3705
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65775 10247 103 72 12 0 0 0
OW 903 1029 83 149 72 15 1 0
VODI 1873 734 108 184 183 59 4 0
ODI 1836 433 81 147 177 112 11 0
CDI 0 268 111 279 441 843 353 0
VCDI 0 40 46 183 630 3716 7844 3705

Date: 2023-12-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65575 10864 152 117 18 0 0 0
OW 938 999 108 203 83 28 0 0
VODI 1841 482 161 232 164 60 18 0
ODI 1848 173 51 215 309 110 21 0
CDI 0 132 49 149 449 834 625 0
VCDI 0 59 41 167 517 3243 8255 3572
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65357 10181 153 143 27 2 0 0
OW 986 901 76 153 79 33 4 0
VODI 1928 664 112 190 158 65 26 0
ODI 1931 338 73 161 161 135 26 0
CDI 0 377 60 200 472 707 687 0
VCDI 0 248 88 236 643 3333 8176 3572


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