Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2023-11-30

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-11-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72936 7685 127 188 202 11 0 0
OW 972 845 66 136 151 53 4 0
VODI 2855 552 105 217 247 116 29 0
ODI 535 224 127 210 151 94 39 0
CDI 0 109 88 428 638 781 49 0
VCDI 0 58 22 98 232 2361 7828 1293
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-11-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71460 8804 152 251 120 6 0 0
OW 968 798 62 225 142 95 0 0
VODI 2782 511 114 191 246 229 18 0
ODI 614 236 117 213 186 177 15 0
CDI 0 106 86 430 622 898 133 0
VCDI 0 61 19 74 185 2288 6638 2590
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-11-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72001 8076 181 313 138 30 0 0
OW 968 1036 122 195 135 71 0 0
VODI 2795 377 136 272 222 93 4 0
ODI 600 98 81 309 436 297 9 0
CDI 0 70 54 196 791 1434 240 0
VCDI 0 35 21 45 135 3195 6110 1541
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-11-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72531 7844 99 163 147 44 0 0
OW 990 1098 119 104 92 54 1 0
VODI 2733 457 172 312 138 66 1 0
ODI 666 109 70 412 361 170 10 0
CDI 0 56 41 202 619 1071 320 0
VCDI 0 16 16 43 146 1445 7175 2749
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72522 7957 104 168 146 44 0 0
OW 1000 996 116 105 92 59 1 0
VODI 2737 455 171 325 158 66 2 0
ODI 661 113 77 414 337 164 8 0
CDI 0 44 32 180 621 1049 308 0
VCDI 0 15 17 44 149 1468 7188 2749

Date: 2023-12-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71601 8526 178 204 206 78 0 0
OW 888 844 111 201 95 74 0 0
VODI 2522 366 149 291 197 163 2 0
ODI 1024 122 102 269 205 280 11 0
CDI 0 64 29 134 302 1080 357 0
VCDI 0 36 18 44 141 1059 8115 2774
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71655 8596 192 225 200 74 0 0
OW 968 777 105 188 101 92 0 0
VODI 2652 360 140 277 212 151 2 0
ODI 760 146 110 283 189 272 10 0
CDI 0 49 25 131 318 1066 345 0
VCDI 0 30 15 39 126 1079 8128 2774

Date: 2023-12-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70851 9361 150 153 130 36 0 0
OW 917 655 195 249 67 14 0 0
VODI 2451 134 161 544 341 90 0 0
ODI 1102 9 11 136 635 318 11 0
CDI 0 14 8 59 355 1368 340 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 38 1448 8302 2209
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70868 9184 168 190 158 40 0 0
OW 900 649 150 234 111 58 0 0
VODI 2450 230 133 331 279 171 4 0
ODI 1103 66 44 215 434 238 9 0
CDI 0 38 26 134 411 909 340 0
VCDI 0 6 4 37 173 1858 8300 2209

Date: 2023-12-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69693 10392 256 235 107 30 0 0
OW 936 521 145 353 118 28 0 0
VODI 2398 109 129 291 371 113 6 0
ODI 1170 25 29 126 397 297 45 0
CDI 0 13 4 91 388 875 388 0
VCDI 0 28 16 28 100 1492 7593 3526
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69756 10123 231 211 118 38 0 0
OW 868 571 127 260 119 54 6 0
VODI 2391 236 112 273 267 193 27 0
ODI 1182 84 51 172 435 261 44 0
CDI 0 36 40 150 321 641 436 0
VCDI 0 38 18 58 221 1648 7519 3526

Date: 2023-12-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69181 10552 271 277 99 52 2 0
OW 868 548 162 280 219 70 0 0
VODI 2346 121 76 245 311 210 12 0
ODI 1230 37 32 110 168 410 93 0
CDI 0 37 21 106 188 892 506 0
VCDI 0 67 25 110 162 1134 9041 2591
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69188 10308 233 221 74 52 2 0
OW 859 581 116 236 163 58 12 0
VODI 2333 251 112 224 285 257 75 0
ODI 1245 87 64 161 217 561 93 0
CDI 0 75 39 182 229 700 508 0
VCDI 0 60 23 104 179 1140 8964 2591


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