Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2023-11-30

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-11-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4 1371 20 17 11 0 0 0
OW 0 249 60 43 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 184 41 99 36 0 0 0
ODI 0 108 26 53 35 3 0 0
CDI 0 50 38 74 125 152 27 0
VCDI 0 50 41 98 150 782 10738 17397
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-11-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2 1249 38 34 2 0 0 0
OW 0 312 35 39 28 0 0 0
VODI 0 163 50 112 64 0 0 0
ODI 0 61 24 63 91 1 0 0
CDI 0 54 18 82 112 102 99 0
VCDI 0 121 55 119 176 680 10178 17918
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-11-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3 1157 34 43 8 0 0 0
OW 0 344 64 77 15 0 0 0
VODI 0 85 63 171 72 14 0 0
ODI 0 27 22 61 177 75 0 0
CDI 0 44 18 49 170 240 46 0
VCDI 0 104 33 74 207 1407 10999 16179
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-11-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1 933 39 37 17 0 0 0
OW 0 356 40 48 75 0 0 0
VODI 0 143 73 132 104 8 0 0
ODI 0 26 27 79 164 86 10 0
CDI 0 55 30 60 146 400 84 0
VCDI 0 11 17 68 167 1866 15593 11187
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1 930 39 46 44 0 0 0
OW 0 333 44 47 54 0 0 0
VODI 0 163 68 129 110 15 0 0
ODI 0 35 28 72 156 73 8 0
CDI 0 50 30 61 149 414 90 0
VCDI 0 13 17 69 160 1858 15589 11187

Date: 2023-12-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 803 15 14 1 0 0 0
OW 0 350 43 54 45 0 0 0
VODI 0 155 73 166 90 11 0 0
ODI 0 24 19 72 189 136 0 0
CDI 0 19 13 45 71 258 41 0
VCDI 0 1 3 28 102 1185 9254 18802
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 813 21 19 6 0 0 0
OW 0 320 40 57 43 0 0 0
VODI 0 174 70 150 97 24 0 0
ODI 0 28 19 80 168 116 0 0
CDI 0 16 13 45 83 274 35 0
VCDI 0 1 3 28 101 1176 9260 18802

Date: 2023-12-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2 629 20 12 0 0 0 0
OW 0 263 49 50 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 106 85 219 80 10 1 0
ODI 0 4 12 115 302 93 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 19 161 392 34 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 43 672 8364 20338
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2 591 38 42 12 1 0 0
OW 0 257 42 90 31 11 1 0
VODI 0 129 57 136 114 31 0 0
ODI 0 11 12 95 219 89 0 0
CDI 0 13 15 44 128 238 10 0
VCDI 0 1 2 8 89 797 8388 20338

Date: 2023-12-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 446 42 32 0 0 0 0
OW 0 144 37 96 28 0 0 0
VODI 0 58 47 194 135 30 0 0
ODI 0 1 8 67 253 116 16 0
CDI 0 0 1 19 161 308 114 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 44 700 9731 19254
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 390 32 51 20 2 0 0
OW 0 158 39 110 57 6 1 0
VODI 0 88 46 134 124 61 11 0
ODI 0 8 10 77 223 146 17 0
CDI 0 5 6 28 106 215 73 0
VCDI 0 0 2 8 91 724 9759 19254

Date: 2023-12-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 293 7 23 23 0 0 0
OW 0 82 27 107 104 6 0 0
VODI 0 29 28 111 144 99 0 0
ODI 0 1 5 44 162 238 17 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 78 322 205 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 17 473 8479 20956
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 268 11 62 43 4 1 0
OW 0 68 15 74 118 49 2 0
VODI 0 64 28 75 111 140 21 0
ODI 0 5 13 63 169 236 34 0
CDI 0 0 0 13 60 219 132 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 27 490 8511 20956


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