Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2023-11-02

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-10-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1354 2120 151 428 231 69 0 0
OW 0 229 190 611 325 233 2 0
VODI 0 3 17 152 532 693 49 0
ODI 0 0 0 15 366 988 146 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 421 2245 522 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 157 3160 8853 7820
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-10-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1390 1583 72 114 83 0 0 0
OW 0 189 76 434 636 293 0 0
VODI 0 4 18 136 554 689 22 0
ODI 0 0 0 15 210 866 174 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 128 1747 761 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 23 2547 9278 10035
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-10-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1246 1714 33 20 0 0 0 0
OW 0 152 41 106 104 17 0 0
VODI 0 14 28 205 350 108 0 0
ODI 0 2 8 92 489 282 11 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 565 1596 296 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 295 3152 10380 10769
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-11-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1510 1620 3 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 264 24 26 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 86 63 85 74 184 8 0
ODI 0 5 15 92 132 275 35 0
CDI 0 0 0 26 443 682 216 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 392 3620 10530 11662
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1510 1660 3 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 241 28 33 15 0 0 0
VODI 0 69 65 89 68 163 4 0
ODI 0 5 9 87 181 326 43 0
CDI 0 0 0 20 364 660 226 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 423 3612 10516 11662

Date: 2023-11-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1511 1592 2 0 0 0 0 0
OW 16 232 12 21 13 0 0 0
VODI 0 155 29 79 52 32 1 0
ODI 0 34 35 123 115 200 84 0
CDI 0 7 14 87 225 363 293 0
VCDI 0 0 0 23 561 4054 9950 12167
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1520 1682 2 0 0 0 0 0
OW 7 195 15 28 20 2 0 0
VODI 0 110 38 91 46 31 1 0
ODI 0 31 24 111 138 181 79 0
CDI 0 2 12 67 177 372 289 0
VCDI 0 0 1 36 585 4063 9959 12167

Date: 2023-11-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 720 2102 16 9 3 0 0 0
OW 0 254 35 75 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 64 72 119 35 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 3 79 169 67 1 14
CDI 0 0 0 18 100 449 74 24
VCDI 0 0 0 0 88 3843 12100 11541
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 720 2206 32 39 6 0 0 0
OW 0 138 44 93 37 0 0 0
VODI 0 57 31 65 66 92 0 0
ODI 0 13 14 48 84 134 71 17
CDI 0 6 5 34 66 323 413 33
VCDI 0 0 0 21 143 3811 11691 11529

Date: 2023-11-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 616 2128 14 13 6 0 0 0
OW 0 269 35 93 60 0 0 0
VODI 0 159 31 58 32 1 0 0
ODI 0 39 28 76 89 39 1 0
CDI 0 5 6 43 119 321 157 0
VCDI 0 0 1 9 55 3171 14453 9955
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 616 2155 29 50 21 1 0 0
OW 0 189 24 63 92 18 0 0
VODI 0 131 23 74 56 67 9 0
ODI 0 89 21 19 32 113 61 0
CDI 0 33 15 63 70 244 288 3
VCDI 0 3 3 23 90 3089 14253 9952

Date: 2023-11-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 909 1517 26 25 0 0 0 0
OW 0 219 47 89 53 1 0 0
VODI 0 138 50 96 115 56 0 0
ODI 0 26 24 79 56 81 0 0
CDI 0 5 3 30 122 290 72 0
VCDI 0 1 2 25 109 1573 16125 10118
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 909 1525 32 56 37 5 0 0
OW 0 164 34 44 47 40 0 0
VODI 0 143 43 110 120 98 9 0
ODI 0 54 26 51 40 139 23 0
CDI 0 9 10 47 77 228 265 0
VCDI 0 11 7 36 134 1491 15900 10118


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