Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2023-11-02

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-10-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13107 5641 168 263 2 0 0 0
OW 0 561 180 471 213 7 0 0
VODI 0 200 124 326 470 170 0 0
ODI 0 36 41 143 311 488 0 0
CDI 0 0 6 95 288 1021 63 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 175 5186 9079 7027
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-10-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12212 5533 183 307 67 0 0 0
OW 5 469 188 603 219 16 0 0
VODI 0 126 107 419 509 179 0 0
ODI 0 20 33 175 388 444 1 0
CDI 0 0 1 58 352 996 213 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 137 4140 9213 8550
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-10-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10991 5066 347 618 91 0 0 0
OW 0 414 165 427 256 23 0 0
VODI 0 73 103 367 591 88 0 0
ODI 0 0 6 143 639 344 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 18 816 931 71 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 203 2737 10505 9833
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-11-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11099 4387 210 283 100 0 0 0
OW 8 552 162 279 519 52 4 0
VODI 0 79 82 242 657 212 9 0
ODI 0 20 30 133 458 354 23 0
CDI 0 0 2 76 369 711 117 0
VCDI 0 0 0 17 197 1868 8085 14470
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11095 4431 227 303 223 6 0 0
OW 12 489 157 252 410 44 2 0
VODI 0 97 70 248 684 201 6 0
ODI 0 17 31 128 437 362 14 0
CDI 0 4 1 83 351 707 163 0
VCDI 0 0 0 16 195 1877 8053 14470

Date: 2023-11-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10273 4084 251 458 39 0 0 0
OW 0 551 147 345 296 71 0 0
VODI 0 231 92 297 441 464 0 0
ODI 0 31 39 114 440 515 38 0
CDI 0 11 21 64 363 707 44 0
VCDI 0 0 1 55 314 2150 8424 14495
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10273 4178 272 530 85 14 0 0
OW 0 406 124 285 258 119 0 0
VODI 0 278 97 285 457 438 0 0
ODI 0 34 32 112 457 529 19 0
CDI 0 12 25 65 301 686 47 0
VCDI 0 0 1 56 335 2121 8440 14495

Date: 2023-11-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10194 3502 134 142 11 0 0 0
OW 1 717 169 297 61 0 0 0
VODI 0 220 241 582 296 14 0 0
ODI 0 9 23 242 813 295 2 0
CDI 0 3 12 41 305 1410 26 0
VCDI 0 0 6 36 127 2817 9605 13513
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10192 3539 203 319 98 0 0 0
OW 3 499 154 299 224 29 0 0
VODI 0 341 157 426 451 181 0 0
ODI 0 57 35 175 414 464 0 0
CDI 0 10 19 71 267 853 37 0
VCDI 0 5 17 50 159 3009 9596 13513

Date: 2023-11-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10198 2768 188 219 28 1 0 0
OW 18 510 198 369 133 1 0 0
VODI 0 177 112 452 388 28 0 0
ODI 0 48 27 245 549 269 1 0
CDI 0 13 12 45 253 912 32 0
VCDI 0 2 2 37 225 2392 7582 17432
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10192 2543 245 369 52 0 0 0
OW 24 511 124 290 349 38 0 0
VODI 0 251 97 346 355 238 2 0
ODI 0 170 55 239 376 369 22 0
CDI 0 36 13 61 238 711 62 0
VCDI 0 7 5 62 206 2247 7529 17432

Date: 2023-11-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9869 2366 89 49 0 0 0 0
OW 74 625 242 322 81 2 0 0
VODI 1 253 153 434 333 48 0 0
ODI 0 79 84 307 404 185 0 0
CDI 0 37 16 100 346 587 13 0
VCDI 0 4 14 34 327 2775 6476 19137
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9911 2162 179 179 32 5 0 0
OW 33 610 165 276 157 9 0 0
VODI 0 342 123 377 427 84 0 0
ODI 0 184 71 257 443 230 11 0
CDI 0 62 48 124 226 652 77 0
VCDI 0 4 12 33 206 2617 6401 19137


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