Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2023-10-12

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-10-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10988 5540 47 25 0 0 0 0
OW 1 713 125 313 40 0 0 0
VODI 0 217 79 181 161 31 0 0
ODI 0 53 55 166 147 48 0 0
CDI 0 36 29 153 340 401 13 0
VCDI 0 3 3 76 246 3771 7451 630
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-10-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9358 6506 127 55 11 0 0 0
OW 1 822 147 328 94 3 0 0
VODI 0 152 131 310 212 87 0 0
ODI 0 16 30 198 134 125 3 0
CDI 0 8 10 168 288 310 26 0
VCDI 0 0 0 45 191 2785 8147 1254
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-10-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7260 8041 258 187 3 0 0 0
OW 0 395 212 557 74 0 0 0
VODI 0 21 33 369 347 6 0 0
ODI 0 5 3 88 369 17 0 0
CDI 0 4 6 22 415 407 63 0
VCDI 0 0 0 10 59 1717 9664 1470
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-10-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8589 6067 214 253 27 0 0 0
OW 28 743 134 342 138 1 0 0
VODI 0 103 55 350 374 16 0 0
ODI 0 3 2 69 348 62 0 0
CDI 0 7 7 15 368 268 23 0
VCDI 0 0 0 8 104 2120 6431 4813
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8582 6221 216 265 34 0 0 0
OW 30 636 132 414 129 1 0 0
VODI 5 58 53 276 423 20 0 0
ODI 0 3 5 56 353 69 0 0
CDI 0 5 6 22 315 444 44 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 105 1933 6410 4813

Date: 2023-10-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7430 6416 221 228 41 0 0 0
OW 83 680 172 425 169 1 0 0
VODI 1 119 101 489 493 64 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 58 311 181 0 0
CDI 0 2 9 39 257 363 12 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 144 1779 5743 6044
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7441 6579 238 321 46 0 0 0
OW 72 564 184 433 211 1 0 0
VODI 1 72 69 370 498 89 0 0
ODI 0 0 6 71 282 207 0 0
CDI 0 2 8 42 227 407 20 0
VCDI 0 0 0 7 151 1684 5735 6044

Date: 2023-10-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4360 8104 324 359 33 0 0 0
OW 9 549 193 348 109 0 0 0
VODI 0 45 95 464 510 14 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 111 703 98 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 26 503 1012 21 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 87 1414 5073 7513
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4357 8097 363 517 158 0 0 0
OW 12 521 158 315 290 27 0 0
VODI 0 79 89 321 827 188 5 0
ODI 0 1 2 97 324 451 18 0
CDI 0 0 0 50 165 537 116 0
VCDI 0 0 0 13 181 1335 4955 7513

Date: 2023-10-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3374 6167 465 950 314 3 0 0
OW 0 756 276 565 350 85 0 0
VODI 0 85 82 278 542 138 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 54 474 459 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 174 921 268 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 118 1572 7060 6542
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3368 6410 536 1095 553 43 0 0
OW 5 437 179 411 447 187 3 0
VODI 1 151 90 238 399 393 16 0
ODI 0 10 17 76 240 724 130 0
CDI 0 0 2 33 158 608 504 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 175 1223 6675 6542

Date: 2023-10-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3202 4460 307 446 380 5 0 0
OW 0 634 272 697 805 253 0 0
VODI 0 140 102 563 947 397 0 0
ODI 0 18 9 123 430 462 3 0
CDI 0 6 6 38 287 903 80 0
VCDI 0 1 5 26 314 2391 8975 4395
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3202 4487 400 775 846 95 0 0
OW 0 545 138 477 905 349 0 0
VODI 0 178 98 356 569 593 12 0
ODI 0 38 45 132 271 643 40 0
CDI 0 11 18 123 203 896 434 0
VCDI 0 0 2 30 369 1835 8572 4395


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