Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2023-10-05

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-09-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12628 4920 25 21 4 0 0 0
OW 0 896 230 244 22 5 0 0
VODI 0 152 110 618 340 26 0 0
ODI 0 29 25 196 1420 414 0 0
CDI 0 10 25 92 652 2355 186 0
VCDI 0 0 0 22 223 2801 3391 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-10-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11653 4841 17 6 0 0 0 0
OW 1 1083 233 405 51 5 0 0
VODI 0 108 78 635 487 90 0 0
ODI 0 1 7 144 712 539 41 0
CDI 0 0 0 102 498 2321 514 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 56 1638 5795 21
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-10-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11481 5297 37 19 0 0 0 0
OW 1 646 140 163 12 0 0 0
VODI 0 83 116 363 107 8 0 0
ODI 0 17 12 180 331 56 0 0
CDI 0 15 11 66 701 597 28 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 230 4428 6934 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-10-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11252 5474 65 49 4 0 0 0
OW 1 602 127 158 66 0 0 0
VODI 0 175 61 173 138 72 0 0
ODI 0 53 46 154 128 133 0 0
CDI 0 50 26 125 346 504 57 0
VCDI 0 6 6 49 250 4579 6628 525
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11252 5532 92 83 7 0 0 0
OW 1 538 103 143 80 2 0 0
VODI 0 195 65 171 132 76 0 0
ODI 0 43 43 139 159 128 0 0
CDI 0 48 25 123 270 533 99 0
VCDI 0 4 3 49 284 4549 6586 525

Date: 2023-10-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9990 6352 83 31 8 0 0 0
OW 1 653 161 362 44 0 0 0
VODI 0 175 121 248 200 29 0 0
ODI 0 27 40 202 123 86 0 0
CDI 0 22 22 161 410 358 19 0
VCDI 0 1 3 49 169 3633 6914 1385
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9989 6245 82 38 8 0 0 0
OW 2 746 156 347 64 0 0 0
VODI 0 190 122 251 168 33 0 0
ODI 0 29 47 219 156 80 2 0
CDI 0 19 19 148 335 377 13 0
VCDI 0 1 4 50 223 3616 6918 1385

Date: 2023-10-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9122 6709 138 53 1 0 0 0
OW 0 574 222 288 15 0 0 0
VODI 0 58 86 571 167 2 0 0
ODI 0 3 6 159 357 14 19 0
CDI 0 3 5 33 389 622 237 0
VCDI 0 0 0 9 77 1731 10374 38
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9096 6219 126 73 6 0 0 0
OW 26 803 148 282 148 7 0 0
VODI 0 292 134 288 285 134 10 0
ODI 0 28 34 212 87 136 30 0
CDI 0 5 15 204 179 189 154 0
VCDI 0 0 0 54 301 1903 10436 38

Date: 2023-10-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7110 7901 240 253 13 0 0 0
OW 5 503 159 458 81 0 0 0
VODI 0 34 42 380 367 16 0 0
ODI 0 4 2 76 370 31 0 0
CDI 0 2 7 28 378 350 3 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 78 1724 9384 2078
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7115 7356 195 240 25 2 0 0
OW 0 761 121 423 117 13 0 0
VODI 0 260 70 291 479 105 0 0
ODI 0 54 37 105 236 232 12 0
CDI 0 13 27 95 254 299 68 0
VCDI 0 0 0 46 176 1470 9307 2078

Date: 2023-10-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8462 5917 207 257 29 0 0 0
OW 82 682 129 315 144 2 0 0
VODI 6 163 81 441 351 47 0 0
ODI 0 2 2 72 302 130 0 0
CDI 0 3 8 28 302 310 21 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 130 2143 5792 5519
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8378 5423 162 287 178 20 0 0
OW 152 898 127 361 190 72 0 0
VODI 20 325 81 232 394 279 24 0
ODI 0 90 26 88 167 333 39 0
CDI 0 29 27 110 140 367 81 0
VCDI 0 2 4 38 189 1561 5669 5519


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