Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2023-09-28

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-09-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84060 4093 115 131 16 0 0 0
OW 2560 458 152 270 51 3 0 0
VODI 1208 54 75 338 258 35 0 0
ODI 0 3 8 154 410 52 10 0
CDI 0 0 0 82 460 1515 101 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 4 3836 2350 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-09-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84269 3753 85 143 25 0 0 0
OW 2407 472 112 208 151 5 0 0
VODI 1437 89 77 237 275 53 0 0
ODI 0 8 6 89 271 198 6 0
CDI 0 0 1 37 337 1026 316 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2 4037 2730 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-09-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84075 3806 87 107 20 0 0 0
OW 2232 402 124 125 18 0 0 0
VODI 1648 93 130 370 154 12 0 0
ODI 0 4 12 214 480 93 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 162 820 43 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 4131 3494 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-09-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84155 3730 83 97 17 0 0 0
OW 2311 363 91 183 34 2 0 0
VODI 1459 109 103 292 170 25 0 0
ODI 0 1 13 146 446 124 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 15 224 617 133 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 15 2422 5482 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84160 3748 77 93 17 0 0 0
OW 2320 366 105 183 32 0 0 0
VODI 1445 88 95 328 217 30 0 0
ODI 0 1 13 121 417 122 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 205 622 149 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 18 2416 5466 0

Date: 2023-09-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84401 3464 64 113 11 0 0 0
OW 2264 402 57 173 52 7 0 0
VODI 1518 144 72 217 164 31 0 0
ODI 0 35 24 84 234 108 0 0
CDI 0 0 14 53 231 484 72 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 28 1810 6502 28
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84407 3491 68 102 9 0 0 0
OW 2279 411 66 199 59 4 0 0
VODI 1497 119 70 226 182 47 0 0
ODI 0 24 19 68 241 121 0 0
CDI 0 0 8 46 206 479 64 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 23 1789 6510 28

Date: 2023-10-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83231 4348 109 145 81 8 0 0
OW 2126 382 46 87 30 22 0 0
VODI 1684 119 95 121 79 27 2 0
ODI 0 20 22 122 77 32 4 0
CDI 0 3 13 73 177 281 13 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 18 2832 6378 55
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83246 4231 121 154 92 17 0 0
OW 2200 366 34 99 68 68 9 0
VODI 1595 167 63 94 98 228 2 0
ODI 0 50 41 92 34 180 32 0
CDI 0 54 20 84 116 360 115 0
VCDI 0 4 6 25 54 2349 6239 55

Date: 2023-10-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83506 3905 79 104 45 14 0 0
OW 2080 391 63 92 32 14 1 0
VODI 1744 222 61 86 67 13 5 0
ODI 0 44 51 85 85 22 5 0
CDI 0 15 25 130 232 238 1 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 54 3189 6162 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83521 3822 92 123 62 24 2 0
OW 2133 391 50 92 57 41 11 0
VODI 1676 232 53 82 101 78 3 0
ODI 0 87 55 68 51 222 0 0
CDI 0 45 29 125 185 360 64 0
VCDI 0 0 0 7 59 2765 6094 0

Date: 2023-10-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83501 3536 87 122 68 45 0 0
OW 1966 391 57 115 79 40 1 0
VODI 1909 257 43 46 87 45 4 0
ODI 0 99 41 61 40 63 6 0
CDI 0 46 48 164 225 262 18 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 42 2198 6840 310
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83553 3454 86 129 77 71 0 0
OW 2084 462 63 88 91 55 15 0
VODI 1739 224 43 91 105 70 4 0
ODI 0 131 39 58 55 135 5 0
CDI 0 58 45 140 166 537 59 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 47 1785 6786 310


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