Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2023-09-28

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-09-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13127 4487 20 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1092 175 185 69 14 0 0
VODI 0 194 177 735 415 236 0 0
ODI 0 14 25 280 1824 660 10 0
CDI 0 0 0 38 642 6088 363 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 6 854 349 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-09-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12385 5196 32 10 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1025 171 218 33 8 0 0
VODI 0 252 152 658 343 320 6 0
ODI 0 28 26 322 1506 602 57 0
CDI 0 0 2 27 368 4331 2071 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 725 1208 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-09-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13279 4793 6 6 0 0 0 0
OW 1 1087 102 42 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 198 231 718 127 0 0 0
ODI 0 12 11 442 1703 134 0 0
CDI 0 1 3 49 819 2660 26 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 189 4328 1115 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-09-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13143 4730 14 13 0 0 0 0
OW 0 966 174 131 12 0 0 0
VODI 0 199 133 626 301 3 0 0
ODI 0 40 14 237 1604 243 0 0
CDI 0 21 12 81 729 2427 151 0
VCDI 0 0 0 31 225 3408 2414 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13143 4871 15 10 0 0 0 0
OW 0 842 175 182 12 0 0 0
VODI 0 180 131 628 419 7 0 0
ODI 0 42 14 199 1592 262 0 0
CDI 0 19 10 57 617 2549 145 0
VCDI 0 2 2 43 231 3263 2420 0

Date: 2023-09-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12088 4958 37 24 6 0 0 0
OW 0 917 237 335 46 9 0 0
VODI 0 94 99 684 441 43 7 0
ODI 0 1 9 169 1039 668 16 0
CDI 0 0 0 109 584 2373 270 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 118 2340 4361 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12088 5112 67 39 6 1 0 0
OW 0 782 223 406 61 9 0 0
VODI 0 75 85 614 572 69 6 0
ODI 0 1 7 156 1014 744 11 0
CDI 0 0 0 94 432 2364 325 0
VCDI 0 0 0 12 149 2246 4312 0

Date: 2023-10-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11096 5620 36 46 0 0 0 0
OW 1 732 169 129 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 66 113 518 91 0 0 0
ODI 0 3 12 164 466 17 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 30 1012 1135 52 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 64 3945 6295 269
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11096 5402 67 65 0 0 0 0
OW 1 864 157 384 142 19 0 0
VODI 0 138 86 299 585 166 10 0
ODI 0 17 16 100 482 416 65 0
CDI 0 0 4 39 390 1962 393 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 35 2534 5879 269

Date: 2023-10-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11545 5306 52 19 0 0 0 0
OW 1 602 96 168 35 0 0 0
VODI 0 141 84 179 184 14 0 0
ODI 0 35 35 175 244 72 0 0
CDI 0 45 15 97 459 550 54 0
VCDI 0 10 10 36 317 4661 6794 47
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11545 4912 61 71 7 0 0 0
OW 1 855 115 186 194 0 0 0
VODI 0 238 63 257 343 194 5 0
ODI 0 81 29 51 356 372 87 0
CDI 0 48 19 95 259 1064 297 0
VCDI 0 5 5 14 80 3667 6459 47

Date: 2023-10-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10988 5540 47 25 0 0 0 0
OW 1 713 125 313 40 0 0 0
VODI 0 217 79 181 161 31 0 0
ODI 0 53 55 166 147 48 0 0
CDI 0 36 29 153 340 401 13 0
VCDI 0 3 3 76 246 3771 7451 630
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10959 5212 64 64 0 0 0 0
OW 30 934 115 261 99 0 0 0
VODI 0 261 83 315 344 114 32 0
ODI 0 115 38 120 196 281 254 0
CDI 0 40 38 131 252 718 463 0
VCDI 0 0 0 23 43 3138 6715 630


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