Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2023-09-07

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-09-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85199 2817 739 9 0 0 0 0
OW 2643 561 160 131 7 0 0 0
VODI 1162 118 181 603 205 1 0 0
ODI 0 25 27 278 1075 305 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 598 1770 3208 14 0
VCDI 0 0 138 254 71 456 107 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-09-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85496 3322 24 15 0 0 0 0
OW 2737 663 122 110 12 0 0 0
VODI 994 255 230 563 82 2 0 0
ODI 0 38 58 438 876 145 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 35 2085 4018 90 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 434 17 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-09-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86246 2944 48 17 0 0 0 0
OW 2777 562 185 204 13 0 0 0
VODI 947 116 214 674 165 6 0 0
ODI 0 4 12 330 1696 179 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 25 924 3767 36 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 750 21 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-09-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86066 3035 53 22 0 0 0 0
OW 2724 602 180 170 6 0 0 0
VODI 1071 145 213 671 156 4 0 0
ODI 0 4 25 406 1538 381 0 0
CDI 0 0 2 5 919 3143 82 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1199 40 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86190 2921 51 12 0 0 0 0
OW 2828 550 150 177 12 0 0 0
VODI 843 244 176 492 108 0 0 0
ODI 0 65 72 405 700 90 0 0
CDI 0 6 24 188 1799 3428 82 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1209 40 0

Date: 2023-09-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86047 3039 46 26 0 0 0 0
OW 2693 631 156 228 8 0 0 0
VODI 1106 162 173 614 195 15 0 0
ODI 0 18 36 274 1232 185 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 4 897 2843 3 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 20 2118 92 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86116 2889 49 32 0 0 0 0
OW 2750 629 139 199 3 0 0 0
VODI 980 229 136 437 142 8 0 0
ODI 0 79 67 377 657 55 0 0
CDI 0 25 20 101 1534 3027 7 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 16 2071 88 0

Date: 2023-09-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85581 3565 53 31 0 0 0 0
OW 2879 626 193 162 0 0 0 0
VODI 831 99 183 795 281 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 5 256 1421 94 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 355 3505 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1840 107 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85614 3206 62 37 0 0 0 0
OW 2796 733 138 189 4 0 0 0
VODI 881 242 153 459 183 0 0 0
ODI 0 101 68 430 754 69 0 0
CDI 0 8 13 129 1068 2477 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 48 2893 107 0

Date: 2023-09-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85445 3474 71 83 7 0 0 0
OW 2937 660 183 166 8 0 0 0
VODI 713 86 131 652 427 32 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 76 1315 322 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 288 3350 1 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 16 2413 6 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85418 3213 74 93 3 0 0 0
OW 2797 638 145 251 49 0 0 0
VODI 880 236 97 357 240 31 0 0
ODI 0 117 61 232 656 176 0 0
CDI 0 16 8 44 1084 2313 1 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 29 3597 6 0

Date: 2023-09-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85120 3437 80 119 17 0 0 0
OW 2915 722 157 191 43 0 0 0
VODI 740 89 126 605 502 7 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 160 1259 370 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 582 2923 1 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 2549 140 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85095 3380 123 143 13 0 0 0
OW 2771 488 147 324 126 0 0 0
VODI 909 237 36 259 344 1 0 0
ODI 0 90 36 174 494 105 0 0
CDI 0 53 22 179 1362 1512 3 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 65 4231 140 0


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