Validation time series

Time series of validation results for forecast lead times

Here are links to time series of aggregated validation results for the various forecast lead times. "Day 1" is the bulletin date. See below for a detailed description. These products are available for the ARC MFC V2 product (onwards), which was first produced for the bulletin date of 2011-12-28.

One year - Day 1 Ocean surface Sea Ice T,S profiles
One year - Day 2 Ocean surface Sea Ice T,S profiles
One year - Day 3 Ocean surface Sea Ice T,S profiles
One year - Day 4 Ocean surface Sea Ice T,S profiles
One year - Day 5 Ocean surface Sea Ice T,S profiles
One year - Day 6 Ocean surface Sea Ice T,S profiles
One year - Day 7 Ocean surface Sea Ice T,S profiles
One year - Day 8 Ocean surface Sea Ice T,S profiles
One year - Day 9 Ocean surface Sea Ice T,S profiles
One year - Day 10 Ocean surface Sea Ice T,S profiles

Description

Below is a sample of validation results from weekly bulletins (sea surface temperature vs. drifting buoy data; "Extended domain"/"N. Atlantic + Nordic/Arctic"). The sample bulletin date (2012-07-26; corresponding to "Day 1" in the list above) is printed in green at the horizontal axis.

Sample of validation at bulletin

The bulletin date is further indicated by a green vertical dashed line. Time series results that are given here, are only computed for the forecast product (blue curve). There are tick lines for every three days on the horizontal axis.

Consider, as an example, the validation results for "Day 7". This day is indicated by the black vertical dashed line in the image to the left. The validation result for this particular day is marked by a blue circle. Hence, this value is inserted in the time series for "Day 7" for this particular bulletin date, i.e., 2012-08-01 (2012-07-26 + 6 days).

The corresponding selection is made for the same forecast lead times (bulletin + 6 days) from other bulletins, forming the time series displayed below. The image above is for the "Extended domain"/"N. Atlantic + Nordic/Arctic". The corresponding date below is again given by a black dashed line, and the value is marked by a red circle.

Sample of validation time series (Day 7)
 
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