Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-02-01

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2024-01-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 39255 891 43 57 0
c1 551 2628 377 147 0
c2 111 1437 2293 1421 0
c3 113 477 1051 2205 0
c4 23 321 516 1444 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 45639 790 34 37 0
c1 382 2659 319 115 0
c2 78 1290 1681 1052 0
c3 46 438 985 2321 0
c4 28 272 290 2649 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 40796 1063 54 42 0
c1 613 2524 379 128 0
c2 215 1283 2030 1107 0
c3 89 718 1118 2321 0
c4 0 267 566 1066 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 44728 1168 20 3 0
c1 669 2668 337 99 0
c2 207 2401 2516 1200 0
c3 70 1024 1897 2741 0
c4 0 338 551 1547 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 44721 1177 19 3 0
c1 676 2646 323 105 0
c2 205 2420 2539 1194 0
c3 72 1009 1889 2757 0
c4 0 347 551 1531 0

Date: 2024-02-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 32650 1222 19 16 0
c1 344 2651 314 100 0
c2 89 1507 2143 883 0
c3 82 715 1552 2245 0
c4 3 332 511 1373 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 32627 1225 19 16 0
c1 363 2612 316 104 0
c2 91 1534 2132 862 0
c3 84 714 1558 2278 0
c4 3 342 514 1357 0

Date: 2024-02-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 46410 1507 50 15 0
c1 1033 3619 211 63 0
c2 85 2734 2088 1073 0
c3 15 757 1406 2522 0
c4 1 285 434 2207 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 45876 1437 53 17 0
c1 1248 3093 215 74 0
c2 240 2751 1890 893 0
c3 167 1166 1558 2641 0
c4 13 455 473 2255 0

Date: 2024-02-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 46666 1430 48 0 0
c1 1083 3802 478 50 0
c2 80 2389 2610 1098 0
c3 4 526 1504 2649 0
c4 0 220 519 2475 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 46211 1301 54 2 0
c1 1200 3138 270 61 0
c2 228 2565 2354 989 0
c3 192 975 1865 2786 0
c4 2 388 616 2434 0

Date: 2024-02-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 44672 1263 20 1 0
c1 928 2976 242 56 0
c2 38 2237 2206 793 0
c3 1 706 1561 2642 0
c4 0 168 601 1690 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 44268 1243 21 2 0
c1 1113 2396 205 88 0
c2 136 2380 2046 761 0
c3 114 1024 1704 2539 0
c4 8 307 654 1792 0


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