Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-01-25

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2024-01-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 39077 719 21 69 0
c1 521 2178 392 206 0
c2 53 2098 2236 1076 0
c3 14 423 1701 3096 0
c4 0 142 345 1291 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 34947 1019 46 54 0
c1 334 2977 616 129 0
c2 43 941 2407 1767 0
c3 20 254 912 2171 0
c4 0 264 386 834 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 41617 948 38 44 0
c1 368 2900 467 87 0
c2 28 1166 2164 1488 0
c3 20 301 1011 2108 0
c4 8 215 339 1568 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 43589 1142 43 40 0
c1 517 2747 467 89 0
c2 98 1286 2220 1392 0
c3 130 563 964 2003 0
c4 51 495 822 1368 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 43583 1177 44 40 0
c1 517 2737 493 90 0
c2 100 1264 2183 1390 0
c3 127 561 980 2014 0
c4 58 494 816 1358 0

Date: 2024-01-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 39404 946 49 54 0
c1 564 2073 425 140 0
c2 145 1407 2314 1436 0
c3 123 550 996 2101 0
c4 20 405 370 2150 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 39409 927 46 59 0
c1 559 2116 438 140 0
c2 138 1380 2292 1431 0
c3 120 553 1013 2133 0
c4 30 405 365 2118 0

Date: 2024-01-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 39417 1135 55 35 0
c1 526 2752 386 133 0
c2 119 1326 1975 1084 0
c3 58 544 1113 2362 0
c4 4 330 378 1905 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 39137 1153 56 48 0
c1 733 2367 344 132 0
c2 140 1576 2030 1366 0
c3 88 615 1128 2084 0
c4 26 376 349 1889 0

Date: 2024-01-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 43284 936 49 28 0
c1 493 2810 367 97 0
c2 149 1795 2108 1172 0
c3 104 1110 1727 2915 0
c4 8 411 676 1214 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 43281 940 52 40 0
c1 329 2434 320 131 0
c2 200 1844 1933 1379 0
c3 145 1385 1801 2597 0
c4 83 459 821 1279 0

Date: 2024-02-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 45979 1394 16 2 0
c1 1056 2926 256 77 0
c2 414 2517 2156 1073 0
c3 168 1243 1640 2565 0
c4 16 434 735 2435 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 45736 1651 20 3 0
c1 847 2235 344 129 0
c2 461 2220 1911 1206 0
c3 485 1807 1675 2363 0
c4 104 601 853 2451 0


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