Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2023-12-28

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2023-12-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 47432 1465 125 57 0
c1 833 5884 1332 488 0
c2 39 940 2031 1872 0
c3 30 198 523 1574 0
c4 0 186 186 644 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-12-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 43768 1274 97 35 0
c1 596 6170 1017 225 0
c2 45 1143 2832 2389 0
c3 10 367 603 1788 0
c4 2 71 205 683 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-12-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 48973 1360 61 81 0
c1 847 5271 1086 368 0
c2 46 1499 2499 2112 0
c3 36 388 1027 2151 0
c4 1 122 405 832 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-12-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51281 1152 87 67 0
c1 1045 6120 1185 452 0
c2 64 1723 3050 2696 0
c3 51 385 1119 2142 0
c4 3 156 491 942 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51365 1193 87 68 0
c1 965 6083 1204 472 0
c2 61 1723 3040 2674 0
c3 50 382 1112 2156 0
c4 3 155 489 929 0

Date: 2023-12-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49281 973 72 48 0
c1 1498 4276 722 183 0
c2 97 1931 2504 1696 0
c3 81 328 1202 2336 0
c4 14 306 559 1071 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49369 1003 73 45 0
c1 1413 4251 736 176 0
c2 94 1911 2483 1712 0
c3 83 346 1215 2344 0
c4 12 303 552 1057 0

Date: 2024-01-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 48152 974 51 25 0
c1 911 4966 653 118 0
c2 33 2270 2908 1685 0
c3 19 318 1139 2116 0
c4 1 266 481 1592 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 47639 935 61 51 0
c1 1369 5080 826 244 0
c2 62 2159 2794 1662 0
c3 37 343 1076 2011 0
c4 9 277 475 1568 0

Date: 2024-01-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 48335 1534 50 57 0
c1 800 5207 1131 344 0
c2 37 1889 3329 2102 0
c3 8 322 1235 2752 0
c4 1 182 439 996 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 48127 1370 71 99 0
c1 951 5351 1477 624 0
c2 58 1847 3055 2080 0
c3 40 359 1143 2276 0
c4 5 207 438 1172 0

Date: 2024-01-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 46144 1323 57 59 0
c1 701 5043 1360 355 0
c2 25 1794 3735 1986 0
c3 2 281 911 2457 0
c4 1 157 380 783 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 45882 1248 95 75 0
c1 887 5107 1881 564 0
c2 44 1754 3145 1970 0
c3 58 274 896 2064 0
c4 2 215 426 967 0


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