Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2023-12-14

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2023-12-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56140 2444 123 37 0
c1 1839 7492 1309 169 0
c2 16 1601 3364 1677 0
c3 2 312 1019 3120 0
c4 0 162 553 1488 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-12-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54988 1839 74 41 0
c1 851 6959 1334 135 0
c2 13 828 3312 1402 0
c3 4 183 664 2237 0
c4 0 144 412 995 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-12-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50169 1895 63 18 0
c1 956 6818 1553 221 0
c2 8 843 2763 2357 0
c3 4 314 842 2218 0
c4 0 132 449 1102 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-12-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 44478 1892 62 40 0
c1 968 6926 1274 335 0
c2 20 1094 2076 2133 0
c3 14 403 820 1966 0
c4 1 253 561 751 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 44518 1967 62 40 0
c1 926 6865 1281 350 0
c2 21 1084 2065 2110 0
c3 14 403 824 1972 0
c4 2 249 561 753 0

Date: 2023-12-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 47405 2327 42 103 0
c1 1177 6519 1751 484 0
c2 47 1078 1849 2058 0
c3 25 208 312 1480 0
c4 4 136 307 1112 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 47390 2305 43 106 0
c1 1188 6548 1727 472 0
c2 43 1066 1879 2059 0
c3 33 204 308 1487 0
c4 4 145 304 1113 0

Date: 2023-12-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50848 1824 110 80 0
c1 843 7757 1528 506 0
c2 37 1410 2385 2002 0
c3 36 278 546 1432 0
c4 22 206 283 1130 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50541 2293 120 89 0
c1 1119 6886 1689 651 0
c2 64 1792 2271 2008 0
c3 52 347 467 1319 0
c4 10 157 305 1083 0

Date: 2023-12-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 48938 1630 78 90 0
c1 603 6380 1533 546 0
c2 42 1031 2387 1761 0
c3 42 253 579 1254 0
c4 8 190 275 634 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 48912 1857 95 103 0
c1 622 5711 1700 684 0
c2 51 1533 2219 1753 0
c3 42 239 577 1181 0
c4 6 144 261 564 0

Date: 2023-12-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 47432 1465 125 57 0
c1 833 5884 1332 488 0
c2 39 940 2031 1872 0
c3 30 198 523 1574 0
c4 0 186 186 644 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 46963 1631 155 72 0
c1 1297 5170 1168 593 0
c2 51 1492 2140 1938 0
c3 23 267 539 1433 0
c4 0 113 195 599 0


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