Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2023-11-23

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2023-11-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 60000 2443 30 25 0
c1 468 8220 1307 275 0
c2 3 999 3373 3907 0
c3 2 131 429 1304 0
c4 0 49 175 489 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-11-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54810 2060 10 18 0
c1 217 8045 735 85 0
c2 5 1261 2655 2808 0
c3 1 211 538 1723 0
c4 0 77 321 612 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-11-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53830 1794 27 19 0
c1 526 6943 962 116 0
c2 7 1139 3031 1868 0
c3 6 304 554 1854 0
c4 0 212 449 690 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-11-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 48989 1678 43 15 0
c1 716 6374 934 162 0
c2 52 1093 2798 1870 0
c3 30 382 705 2580 0
c4 1 173 346 548 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49063 1778 43 16 0
c1 642 6284 967 171 0
c2 49 1077 2780 1856 0
c3 33 388 699 2588 0
c4 1 173 337 544 0

Date: 2023-11-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 59330 1848 32 10 0
c1 1203 6802 963 227 0
c2 59 1558 2878 1748 0
c3 36 449 1068 3206 0
c4 0 163 356 1643 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 59442 1975 37 12 0
c1 1090 6692 990 236 0
c2 58 1553 2863 1741 0
c3 38 439 1058 3196 0
c4 0 161 349 1649 0

Date: 2023-11-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 58151 1916 39 11 0
c1 649 6690 803 123 0
c2 34 1759 2401 1376 0
c3 6 428 893 2732 0
c4 0 288 600 579 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 57657 1944 49 14 0
c1 1136 6265 953 336 0
c2 40 2098 2257 1392 0
c3 7 503 914 2535 0
c4 0 271 563 544 0

Date: 2023-11-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53884 1854 73 25 0
c1 901 6222 591 209 0
c2 25 1722 2382 1241 0
c3 15 364 1180 3582 0
c4 0 150 268 1674 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53375 1908 82 29 0
c1 1385 5261 635 292 0
c2 38 2553 2268 1203 0
c3 27 386 1202 3512 0
c4 0 204 307 1695 0

Date: 2023-12-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53454 2154 38 9 0
c1 1222 6673 418 114 0
c2 33 2193 1933 999 0
c3 14 327 837 2815 0
c4 0 90 245 714 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53071 2321 42 10 0
c1 1550 5462 389 147 0
c2 48 3225 1842 1052 0
c3 47 295 880 2672 0
c4 7 134 318 770 0


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