Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2023-11-16

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2023-11-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 48363 2280 38 33 0
c1 1156 6503 1959 366 0
c2 1 1027 4641 2589 0
c3 1 118 379 386 0
c4 0 15 205 280 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-11-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55685 2115 27 18 0
c1 415 6642 1294 142 0
c2 4 1038 5152 2284 0
c3 1 102 478 1136 0
c4 0 51 246 428 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-11-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 59424 2730 27 28 0
c1 521 8422 1454 193 0
c2 2 1135 6149 3755 0
c3 2 170 670 1405 0
c4 0 34 205 428 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-11-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54825 2412 30 24 0
c1 325 8065 1189 207 0
c2 3 956 4022 3267 0
c3 2 131 544 1279 0
c4 0 41 146 385 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54814 2483 36 29 0
c1 336 8031 1181 206 0
c2 3 918 4027 3249 0
c3 2 135 540 1290 0
c4 0 38 147 388 0

Date: 2023-11-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50968 2126 32 14 0
c1 420 7673 1422 385 0
c2 2 1207 2346 3587 0
c3 3 182 574 1078 0
c4 0 66 354 560 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50916 2164 35 20 0
c1 471 7707 1385 359 0
c2 4 1131 2374 3576 0
c3 2 188 586 1104 0
c4 0 64 348 565 0

Date: 2023-11-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 57396 1906 9 11 0
c1 475 7750 780 49 0
c2 5 1231 2797 1752 0
c3 4 203 568 1600 0
c4 0 119 379 663 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 57145 1977 16 13 0
c1 721 7567 1013 156 0
c2 7 1330 2649 2400 0
c3 7 222 464 887 0
c4 0 113 391 619 0

Date: 2023-11-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 60044 1864 38 46 0
c1 1061 7198 1116 186 0
c2 43 1291 3180 1893 0
c3 44 406 686 2262 0
c4 4 208 473 490 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 59686 2024 53 62 0
c1 1364 7004 1393 263 0
c2 67 1251 3009 2828 0
c3 58 444 534 1253 0
c4 21 244 504 471 0

Date: 2023-11-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53692 1580 39 4 0
c1 828 6547 853 158 0
c2 45 773 2604 1181 0
c3 30 327 576 2095 0
c4 1 193 282 1389 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53460 1743 42 8 0
c1 997 6381 1101 188 0
c2 77 741 2489 2005 0
c3 60 315 446 1260 0
c4 2 240 276 1366 0


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